Round Up (Week 14.5)

SSS Tips
Ever so close to a full house. If Stoke had stayed 0-0 with Charlton for those last 10 minutes it would have been half win/half void and made it an excellent midweek. Still didn't do badly as Chelsea and Reading shared 19 corners landing that bet easily. Sunderland were comfortable 2-0 winners against Birmingham and Rochdale were more than comfortable thrashing Chester 4-0. Charlton scored late beating Stoke 1-0 but overall we made +2.11 points which is very healthy.

Bets 77 Wins 34(plus 5 void and 2 void/loss), Points staked 77 Profit +8.62

NOTES

Everything is in for the weekend. Seems like it's non-stop betting when there's a big midweek program. Scotland and France have the cup this weekend but there's still a fair amount of games in the lower Scottish leagues and Germany is back. Will give the German league a wide berth for a while to allow them to settle down again.

31 Jan, 08 | Posted in: Roundups | Comments Closed

Week 14.5 Bets (29.01.08)

SSS Tips

Nearly a full English program to pick from so hope I’ve found some decent stuff.

A corner bet to begin.

Chelsea v Reading (eng prem – wed 7:45pm local time)

If you add the Cheslea home corner average with the reading away average you get 14 corners. The line is set at 11 and 9/11 reading away games this season have been above that. For Chelsea at home this has only been made 4/11 but with 2 games at 11 exactly only 5/11 would be losers and 3 of these were 10 corners showing how thin the line is. They shared 13 in the same fixture last season although the handicap of Chelsea -4 looks huge I prefer over 11. In the whole of last season and this Reading have never had less than 3 corners away which is pretty unique.
++ Asian Total – Over 11 @ 1.85 on Bet365 (1pt)

Now the Asian Handicaps.

Sunderland v Birmingham (eng prem – tue 8pm local time)

A big game here with them level on points, but I think we will have a winner here tonight. Sunderland have a decent home record of W5 D3 L3 and the losses have come to Man Utd, Liverpool and Blackburn. They have been pretty solid, won their last 2 home games,  and only Liverpool and Man Utd have managed to keep a clean sheet at the Stadium of Light. Birmingham have lost 6 of the last 8 away from home and only managed to keep a clean sheet once in 14 away games. I would think they will have a job doing it at Sunderland and, dropping the Man Utd and Liverpool games Sunderland have only leaked 7 goals in 9 games at home. The handicap is set at 0, -0.5 Sunderland but personally I think the win bet looks better value. Sunderland have won 5/11 at home and Birmingham lost 8/12 so 2.3 seems a nice price.
++ 
Sunderland @ 2.3 on Bet365 (1pt)

Charlton v Stoke (eng champ – tue 7:45pm local time)

These teams lie 4th and 5th in the championship and a win for Charlton could see them leapfrog Stoke. Charlton have performed better away than at home this season. Charlton have won just once in the last 7 and at home have lost 3 of the last 6. Stoke arrive with no defeats in the last 12 games and away from home have lost just twice all season and only once in the last 11 games. A draw looks pretty likely and the handicap favours Stoke at 0, +0.5. If we take the 0 they would have won this 5/7 but Charlton would have won it 6/11 so it’s about even. However, with the +0.5 Stoke would have won that 12/14 and Charlton lost it 8/14 and as we are getting over evens it looks good value.
++ Stoke 0, +0.5 @ 2.06 Ladbrokes (1pt)

Chester v Rochdale (eng 2 – tue 7:45pm local time)

Rochdale are the form team in league 2 with 7 wins, 2 draws and just one defeat in the last 10 and they also have the second best away record, landing another big scalp at the weekend beating the MK Dons. They have only lost once on the road since their first away game this season winning 8 and drawing 5 with 6 of those wins coming in the last 7 away games. Chester have lost 6 of their last 7 games and 4 of the last 5 at home. My only concern for Rochdale is up front where they sold a striker recently and with one returning from injury and another doubtful I think the AH is safer at Rochdale 0, +0.5. They would have won the 0 part 8/9 and the +0.5 part 8/14 so it still looks value.
++ 
Rochdale 0, -0.5 @ 1.96 on Ladbrokes (1pt)

4 points bet in total

Spinner Rinse

No midweek rinse. He’s still licking his wounds.

29 Jan, 08 | Posted in: Tips | Comments Closed

Round Up (Week 14)

SSS Tips
The weekend started well on Saturday and then trailed off on Sunday. The double was landed as Rangers beat St Mirren 4-0 and then Toulose and Nice drew 1-1. Rotherham did the business winning 1-0 but the on Catania drew 0-0 with Parma so half that bet was void and half lost. The real downer was Atletico Madrid losing 1-0 in Mallorca. Sadly I don't pick their team but leaving the lethal Aguero on the bench for the one season wonder Mista didn't pay off especially in a side already weakened by the loss of Simao to injury and Maxi Rodriguez suspended. I didn't pay enough attention to team news as if I knew that Simao and Maxi weren't playing I may have played safer. Nothing like an expensive lesson! Still the weekend ended in profit albeit +0.44. 

Bets 73, Wins 31 (plus 5 void and 2 void/loss), Points staked 73, Profit +6.51

Spinner Rinse
I'm thinking of asking my gran to do the rinse next week as she'd probably do equally well. Leeds drew, Rotherham won, Bradford drew, Catania drew and Espanyol lost.

Accumulators 15, Profit -15

NOTES

Lots of games in England this midweek. Nearly a full program and that's all in but the other European leagues haven;t been updated yet. Should have some bets tomorrow morning for the English games.

28 Jan, 08 | Posted in: Roundups | Comments Closed

Spinner Rinse – Week 14

Spinner Rinse

Late as usual! He's plumped for Leeds to win at Luton in league 1, Rotherham and Bradford to win away in league 2 at Chester and Wrexham respectively, Catania to land the win in Italy at home to Parma and Espanyol to win against Betis in Spain.

Can be backed at 47.38 on Bet365

26 Jan, 08 | Posted in: Tips | Comments Closed

Week 14 Bets (26.01.08)

SSS Tips

Hoping for a weekend like the last as opposed to the midweek debacle. Not many league matches in England as the FA Cup is in session, but that does mean a big midweek program to make up for it.

Be interesting to see if Villareal can do anything against Real Madrid on Sunday night. After beating Atletico last weekend a Madrid win would be ominous for the rest of the league even at such an early stage.

A Double

Rangers v St Mirren (scots prem – sat 3pm local time) / Toulose v Nice (france – sat 8pm local time)

Rangers have won 10/11 at home and in 7 of these games they’ve kept a clean sheet. St Mirren have mustered just 5 goals in their 10 away fixtures this season and Rangers look like they should win to 0. Paddy Power off a decent 1.62 but Blue Sq offer a mad 1.67 on St Mirren not to score.score.
Toulose and Nice both don’t like over 2.5. In 11 Toulose home games they have managed this once and Nice have the same record away. Taking Blue Sq for their friendly price above at 1.53.
++ Double – @ 2.56 on Blue Sq (1pt)

No Corner bets this week as just the one premiership games so Asian Handicaps below but also a win bet as it just looked too good.

Chester v Rotherham (eng div 2 – sat 3pm local time)

Rotherham have the slightly shorter odds here which means the 0 handicap has low odds and you are left with taken them on 0, -0.5. I want to, but the win seems too inviting at 2.375 and here’s why. Chester have drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 6 games and lost 6 of their home games this season. Rotherham are the visitors and they have won 3 of the last 5 games and away from home have won 5 of the last 6 and the only one they didn’t win was the draw against Darlington who sit one place behind them in 3rd.  If we call this handicap at Rotherham -0.5 then they would have won it 6 times and lost it 6 times and Chester would have won 7 and lost 6. A quote around evens would be fair considering the differences in form and so the current price looks great value.
++
Rotherham @ 2.375 generally (1pt)

Catania v Parma (italy – sun 3pm local time)

Only 3 places separate these teams but Catania are strong at home and Parma weak away. Catania have a W5 D2 L2 record at home and have won 2 of the last 3 at home (the other a draw with Juve) and 5 of the last 7. Parma come on Sunday with the worst away record in Serie A losing 7, drawing 2 and no wins and managing just 5 goals in these 9 games. If we take the AH we get a bit of added security with the line Catania 0, -0.5. They would have won the 0 line 5/7 (2 draws) and the -0.5 line 5/9. For Parma they would have lost the 0 line everytime bar the 2 draws which would be voids and the -0.5 7/9.
++ 
Catania 0, -0.5 @ 1.95 on Bet365 (1pt)

Real Mallorca v Atletico Madrid (la liga – sun 5pm local time)

Of all the games this weekend this one really stood out. I really rate Atletico Madrid and last weekend Aguero hit the bar right before Real Madrid scored their second goal and that might have changed the whole outcome. This weekend they travel to the island of Mallorca and on the road they have lost just twice, at Barcelona and Real Madrid. Mallorca have just one win in the last 12 games and are dropping down the table. Atletico can be backed odds against on the 0 AH and they would have won that 4/6 away (3 draws) and as mentioned earlier both losses against the big 2. Worth 2 points
++ Atletico
Madrid 0 @ 2.075 on Bet365 (2pts)

5 points bet in total

Spinner Rinse

The rinse should be up later.

25 Jan, 08 | Posted in: Tips | Comments Closed