Week 14.5 Bets (29.01.08)

SSS Tips

Nearly a full English program to pick from so hope I’ve found some decent stuff.

A corner bet to begin.

Chelsea v Reading (eng prem – wed 7:45pm local time)

If you add the Cheslea home corner average with the reading away average you get 14 corners. The line is set at 11 and 9/11 reading away games this season have been above that. For Chelsea at home this has only been made 4/11 but with 2 games at 11 exactly only 5/11 would be losers and 3 of these were 10 corners showing how thin the line is. They shared 13 in the same fixture last season although the handicap of Chelsea -4 looks huge I prefer over 11. In the whole of last season and this Reading have never had less than 3 corners away which is pretty unique.
++ Asian Total – Over 11 @ 1.85 on Bet365 (1pt)

Now the Asian Handicaps.

Sunderland v Birmingham (eng prem – tue 8pm local time)

A big game here with them level on points, but I think we will have a winner here tonight. Sunderland have a decent home record of W5 D3 L3 and the losses have come to Man Utd, Liverpool and Blackburn. They have been pretty solid, won their last 2 home games,  and only Liverpool and Man Utd have managed to keep a clean sheet at the Stadium of Light. Birmingham have lost 6 of the last 8 away from home and only managed to keep a clean sheet once in 14 away games. I would think they will have a job doing it at Sunderland and, dropping the Man Utd and Liverpool games Sunderland have only leaked 7 goals in 9 games at home. The handicap is set at 0, -0.5 Sunderland but personally I think the win bet looks better value. Sunderland have won 5/11 at home and Birmingham lost 8/12 so 2.3 seems a nice price.
++ 
Sunderland @ 2.3 on Bet365 (1pt)

Charlton v Stoke (eng champ – tue 7:45pm local time)

These teams lie 4th and 5th in the championship and a win for Charlton could see them leapfrog Stoke. Charlton have performed better away than at home this season. Charlton have won just once in the last 7 and at home have lost 3 of the last 6. Stoke arrive with no defeats in the last 12 games and away from home have lost just twice all season and only once in the last 11 games. A draw looks pretty likely and the handicap favours Stoke at 0, +0.5. If we take the 0 they would have won this 5/7 but Charlton would have won it 6/11 so it’s about even. However, with the +0.5 Stoke would have won that 12/14 and Charlton lost it 8/14 and as we are getting over evens it looks good value.
++ Stoke 0, +0.5 @ 2.06 Ladbrokes (1pt)

Chester v Rochdale (eng 2 – tue 7:45pm local time)

Rochdale are the form team in league 2 with 7 wins, 2 draws and just one defeat in the last 10 and they also have the second best away record, landing another big scalp at the weekend beating the MK Dons. They have only lost once on the road since their first away game this season winning 8 and drawing 5 with 6 of those wins coming in the last 7 away games. Chester have lost 6 of their last 7 games and 4 of the last 5 at home. My only concern for Rochdale is up front where they sold a striker recently and with one returning from injury and another doubtful I think the AH is safer at Rochdale 0, +0.5. They would have won the 0 part 8/9 and the +0.5 part 8/14 so it still looks value.
++ 
Rochdale 0, -0.5 @ 1.96 on Ladbrokes (1pt)

4 points bet in total

Spinner Rinse

No midweek rinse. He’s still licking his wounds.

29 Jan, 08 | Posted in: Tips | Comments Closed