SSS Tips

Just a few games this midweek but there were quite a few possible bets and I always get wary that I look too hard for bets when there are less games. I also have included a Champions League game. I know the console doesn’t include it but I really think it’s too good an opportunity to pass up.

Huddersfield v Millwall (eng div 1 – tues 7:45pm local time)

The HT chart highlighted this bet and when I dug deeper it looked like a good one. Huddersfield have been leading at HT in 8/15 home games and Millwall losing in 7/15. Add these together and you have exactly an evens chance of this happening. Huddersfield have been leading at HT in 4 of the last 6 games and Millwall behind in 3 of their last 6. The clincher for me was that have scored in the first half in all their last 6 games, whereas Millwall have only registered one goal in the first half in their last 6. I would say evens is about right and 2.5 is available in a few place but Betfred offer a cracking 2.63. The debate is always whether to continue the bet and take HT/FT but the odds are only 3.2 on Huddersfield/Huddersfield and doesn’t seem as much value.
++ Half Time – Huddersfield @ 2.63 on Betfred (1pt)

Stockport v Mansfield (eng div 2 – tues 7:45pm local time)

A risky bet but I’ll play half a point for some interest. Mansfield have won 4 games in a row away and the last 3 of them 2-1. Stockport also lost their last home game 2-1 and I think the high odds make it worth a small punt that it might happen again. 3 Stockport home games have ended up 2-1 to the away team and 3 of Mansfield’s away, so taking them together you have 6/32 (19%) and so odds of 5.33 rather than the 16/1 available. Asking Mansfield to win 2-1 four times in a row is a lot to ask but who knows!
++ Correct Score 1-2 @ 17 on general (½pt)

Liverpool v Inter Milan (champs lge – tues 7:45pm local time)

I know it’s not in the console but I have had my eye on Inter Milan all season and really fancy them to do very well in the Champions League. They remind me a bit of Man Utd in the treble season when they just win everything and even if they go behind you still think they’ll come back and win. I am going to use league form to briefly compare these games. At home Liverpool have a W5 D6 L1 record and 4 of the other teams in the top 6 have visited Anfield and Liverpool have not beaten any of them, drawing 3 and losing 1. Away from home Inter Milan have W7 D4 L0 and have also visited 4 of the top 6 teams and won 2 and drawn 2 letting in just 2 goals. All in Inter Milan have let in just 6 goals in their 11 away games in serie A this season. They seem solid at the back and Liverpool have had problems scoring recently. In the last 3 champions league games they plundered an amazing 16 goals but domestically if you look at the last 8 games they have scored 9 goals but 5 of them were in the victories, and the only victories in these games, over Sunderland and Derby. I could see it being 1-0 to Inter Milan and the 7/1 Paddy Power looks good value but I am happy to take Inter on the draw no bet as I really can’t see them losing.
++ Draw No Bet – Inter Milan @ 2 on Boyles/Blue Sq/Stan James/Bet Direct (1 pt)

2½ points bet in total

NOTES

Everything is in for midweek games bar the ref in Scotland. I’ll add that as soon as I can.