Spinner Rinse

Spinner Rinse

The rinse is still being spun by me as the original rinse got washed up. Norwich to win at home to Barnsley (championship), Darlington to win at Bury, Brentford to win at Chester (league 2), Villa to win at Reading (prem) and Sevilla to beat Zaragoza (spain).

++ 5-fold accumulator @ 49.5 on Stan James/Bet Direct/better

22 Feb, 08 | Posted in: Tips | Comments Closed

Week 18 Bets (23.02.08)

SSS Tips

Well another weekend is here and hope the recent run of form can continue. A variety of bets this weekend and would have liked to have bet on both Sevilla and Getafe in Spain but couldn’t get an angle.

First up a corner bet.

Reading v Aston Vill (eng prem – sun 12:30pm local time)

8/13 Reading home games have been over 12 corners and the Madjeski is equal 2nd in highest corner average this season. Villa arrive and the only team to average a higher match corner average on the road is Reading. Villa games average 13.3 away and 8/12 have been more than 12 corners. With Readings average at home of 12.2 and 8/13 being more than 12 you would be entitled to expect quite a few here. It's a live game so there's many markets on offer. You can get evens on over 12 but we can play a little safer with the over 11 market and still get good odds.
++ Total Corners – Over 11 @ 1.91 on Stan James (1pt)

A couple of half time bets and then an over/under.

Bury v Darlington (eng div 2 – sat 3pm local time)

The console showed up shows up the large amount of games that Darlington have been leading at HT when away as well as the amount Bury have been losing. Bury have changed their manager and although they have a WDW record in the last 3 games they have been losing at HT in each of them only to come back. Overall they have been down at HT 9/16 at home and couple with the fact Darlington have led 10/16 when away we have 19/32 (59%) so odds of 1.69 but can be backed at 2.95 on expext or 2.88 generally.
++ Half Time –
Darlington @ 2.88 on general (1pt)

Nancy v Lens (france ligue 1 – sat 8pm local time)

We got one of these French half time draws right last week and I’m prepared to risk it again. 7/12 Nancy home games have been a draw at HT and 8/12 for Lens away. All the last 5 Nancy home games have been a draw at HT (all 0-0) and 5 of the last 7 Lens away games. 15/24 (62%) is a 1.6 chance so the odds of 2.1 that Coral offer look good value.
++ Half Time – Draw @ 2.1 on Coral (1pt)

Mansfield v Chester (eng div 2 – sat 3pm local time)

This was the main over/under game that stuck out and the over quotes always seem to be pretty generous in England. 9/14 Mansfield home games have been over 2.5 and 10/15 for Chester away. The total is 19/29 (66%) so should be odds of 1.53 but hunting round you can get above evens and on Bet365 in the additional goal line you can get 2.16. I’ll quote the simple VC Bet price for this which seems good value.
++ Over/Under 2.5 – Over @ 2.1 on VC Bet (1pt)

A sort of win bet and then a traditional one.

Valenciennes v Le Mans  (france ligue 1 – sat 8pm local time)

I have kept an eye on Valenciennes for a while and they won again at home last time out. Only Lyon have a better home record than them in France and that’s only because they’ve played a game more. They’ve won 5 of the last 6 home games (9/12 of all home games) and Le Mans come who have lost 5 of the last 7 on the road. Le Mans actually have a WDW record in the last 3 games but have scored just 2 goals in those games winning 1-0 at home twice and drawing 0-0. Valenciennes have scored 15 goals in their last 6 home games and I would be surprised if they are shut out by Le Mans. There were quite a few bets here that seemed value like the straight win, Valenciennes HT/FT but then when I looked at the AH console I saw one I really liked. If Valenciennes win then they normally win by more than 1 goal. 7 of the 9 home wins have come by 2 or more and 4/7 Le Mans defeats have come by 2 or more. That’s 11/24 (46%) games by 2 goals so odds should be 2.18 so the 4.3 looks great value.
++ Winning Margin –
Valenciennes to win by 2 or more goals @ 4.33 on Bet365 (1pt)

Accrington v Stockport (eng div 2 – sat 3pm local time)

Accrington lost their last home game 3-0 to Lincoln and the manager had a go at fans abusing the team. They have another tough game this week as Stockport come. Stockport lost their last game 2-1to Bury but this was after being 1-0 up and having their goalie sent off a striker play in goal. Before that they were unbeaten in 9 and have won 5 in a row away. Accrington have lost 7 of the last 9 home games and I thought about looking at the AH for this game but really the win for Stockport looks good value.
++ 
Stockport @ 2.375 on Stan James/Bet Direct (1pt)

6 points bet in total

NOTES

Will add the Spinner Rinse later tonight.

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