Back again. Have been severely wounded these last few weeks but a winning weekend always does the world of good.
I’ve spent some time this season writing a nice program that goes through all the games for me and comes back with a nice starting set. It may be that this is not all it is cracked up to be but I made further modifications recently and think this is the way to go
Anyway it picked out these games as 2 or 3 goals
Blackburn
Tottenham
In terms of HT/FT bets the following came up
QPR
CrystalPalace
DH
The formatting is poor but I will work on this. These games all qualify as the odds are twice what the probability has been this season.
I hope to get something together for next season based on ratings etc and have worked out a way to test anything using all historical data so imagine there will be success. Anyway on to the real selections
Oldham v Peterborough (English League One: Sat local time)
Like his dad Darren Ferguson so far has proved to be a mediocre footballer but a good manager. Long may it continue as we could do with more Ferguson’s. I do think we are very lucky in England to have Ferguson, Benitez and Wenger, especially if you compare us to other leagues. If Mourinho hadn’t been sacked that was a real Big 4! But back to Peterborough who lie 2nd in the table, have the best form over the last 10 matches and have won 8 of their last 9 games. In Oldham’s last 9 games they have won just once and their season is pretty much over after promising so much. Peterborough are still chasing Leicester for the title and a win here would keep the pressure on and keep them in line for automatic promotion at least. The item that drew the game is Peterborough winning all of their last 6 games while Oldham took just 2 points from their last 6. I’m playing cagey on this game.
++ Asian Handicap – Peterborough (0, -0.5) @ 2 on Bet365 (1pt)
Hertha Berlin v Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga: Sat local time)
Wolfsburg hosting Bayern is huge game and if the prices weren’t even I would see Wolfsburg as value. However, top of the pile Berlin host Dortmund and the price looks good. Berlin have won 10 straight at home and Dortmund have won just 4 times in 12 away games this season and not won in 5 away games.
++ Win Market – Hertha Berlin @ 2.05 on Blue Sq (1pt) – 2 on 6 bookies and better on Betfair
I finally can face the roundup knowing there are more games around the corner. It was another terrible weekend with 2 points lost. I’ve had a classic David Brent quote in my head for a lot of the week which is “Quitters never win, winners never quit. But those who never win and never quit are idiots.”
Despite this I’m going to continue on and with this in an attempt to reclaim money from the bookies. It may be a late one today but I will get some selections out. The current state of play is:
