Bets March 10th/11th

I’ve highlighted five selections for you this week from the SimpleSoccerStats console. These are in general confidence below. Take a look and if you see anything you like as well please get in touch or post on the twitter or facebook pages. 

1. Man Utd v WBA

I expect goals in this match with WBA free scoring away from home. I think the best angle to side with the goals rather than the 4/7 on Over 2.5 is to look at the 2nd half goals market.  I’ll outline

  • WBA scored in 6 of last 7 away games, blank was 1-0 at Tottenham,
  • WBA scored 13 goals in their last 6 away games
  • United scored at least twice in last 6 home games, 18 in total.
  • United 2nd halves at home have featured 2 goals or more on 10 of the 13 games.

Looking at the last 6 games respectively you can see their 2nd half results. Rather than risk backing United who have won 5 of the last 6 2nd halves, we’ll play the Over 1.5 goals in the 2nd half, which would have landed 5 of 6 for both team in their current form.

United 2nd half home results

Total Goals

WBA 2nd half away results

Total Goals

2-1

3

0-4

4

1-0

1

1-1

2

2-0

2

1-1

2

2-2

4

1-0

1

3-0

3

1-1

2

2-1

3

1-2

3

Average

2.67

Average

2.33


(United listed 1st)                         (WBA listed 2nd)

–          5 points over 1.5 second half goals @ 10/11 with Coral

2. Wolves v Blackburn

  • Been 3 goals or more in last 11 Wolves home games
  • Both teams have scored in 9 of the last 10 Wolves home games and 12 of the last 12 Blackburn away games
  • 24 goals in last 6 Wolves home matches
  • 23 goals in last 6 Blackburn away matches
  • Scores a whopping 20/24 using BTS criteria (see last week’s post)

 

–          2 points over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 with Stan James

–          2 points both teams to score @ 8/13 General

–          0.5 point Blackburn 3-2 @ 28/1 General

3. Norwich v Wigan

Statistics wise, this doesn’t look at great overs game, but I think you have to look at Norwich home record in more detail. Against top half opposition they’ve played seven games and scored in five of those but against lower half opposition they average 2 goals a game and those games average more goals.

 

  • Over 2.5 goals in last 8 Wigan away games
  • Norwich scored in 10 of their 13 home games
  • Wigan scored in 6 of their last 8 away games
  • Scores a 16/24 using BTS criteria (see last week’s post)

 

 

Norwich Home record

Score v Top Half teams

Norwich goals

Goals in Game

Score v Bottom half teams

Norwich goals

Goals in Game

1-2

1

3

2-0

2

2

0-0

0

0

2-1

2

3

1-1

1

2

3-3

3

6

0-2

0

2

3-1

3

4

4-2

4

6

2-1

2

3

1-2

1

3

0-1

0

1

1-1

1

2

 

 

 

Average

1.14

2.57

Average

2.00

3.17

 

–          2 points over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 General

–          2 points both teams to score @ 8/11 with bet365 and Skybet

4. Coventry v Birmingham

  • Last 3 Birmingham games scored 13 goals
  • Coventry only failed to scored once at home all season, scored 15 of 16 games
  • Both teams scored in 4 of 6 Coventry home games and 4 of 6 Birmingham away games
  • Scores a 16/24 using BTS criteria (see last week’s post)

 

–          3 points Both teams to score @ 10/11 with Coral

 

5. Peterborough v Blackpool

Peterborough have lost their goal potency recently but against Blackpool who cannot keep a clean sheet away from home, I’d expect plenty of goals in this one.

  • Last 8 Blackpool away games featured over 2.5 goals
  • Last 4 Peterborough away games over 2.5 goals
  • Blackpool haven’t kept a clean sheet in last 10 away games

–          3 points over 2.5 goals @ 4/6 General

–          1 point Accumulator on all five games highlighted @ roughly 14/1 Stan James

As a side note, it’s also worth reading the bettingzone preview of the football leagues games. They’ve picked out Carlisle again but I don’t fancy them as much against Bury as they are more of a threat and the price isn’t as good as highlighted mid week.

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