Villarreal and Sevilla are avoided each other in the draw and both have a decent chance of making the final. Sevilla’s poor away form could trip them up and they have started to look tired as the season comes to an end. 5pts have been staked on this tournament and whether it is worth covering a Shakhtar v Liverpool final is the one point worth debating. The price on that is anything between 4.1 and 4.4 so would have to stake 1.5pts to cover. If Villarreal make the final it’s a guaranteed payout as they were bet each way at 26.0 so if they lose in the final its a 6.5pt return for a +2pt profit. Liverpool are 1.57 to qualify so there seems little option in backing them to cover Villarreal.
The safest option is to cover them both losing but the small profit for Villarreal reaching the final might be eroded so I’ll leave them running.
A summary of the bets
Sevilla 13.0 generally (15.0 with Corals) 1pt NOW BEST PRICE 3.1
Villarreal 26.0 generally 0.5pt e/w NOW BEST PRICE 5.1
Fiorentina 26.0 generally 1pt e/w KNOCKED OUT LAST 32
Sporting Lisbon 41.0 generally (51.0 with Bet365) 0.5pt e/w KNOCKED OUT LAST 32
e/w bets are all 1/2 odds on making the final