Week 14 Bets (26.01.08)

SSS Tips

Hoping for a weekend like the last as opposed to the midweek debacle. Not many league matches in England as the FA Cup is in session, but that does mean a big midweek program to make up for it.

Be interesting to see if Villareal can do anything against Real Madrid on Sunday night. After beating Atletico last weekend a Madrid win would be ominous for the rest of the league even at such an early stage.

A Double

Rangers v St Mirren (scots prem – sat 3pm local time) / Toulose v Nice (france – sat 8pm local time)

Rangers have won 10/11 at home and in 7 of these games they’ve kept a clean sheet. St Mirren have mustered just 5 goals in their 10 away fixtures this season and Rangers look like they should win to 0. Paddy Power off a decent 1.62 but Blue Sq offer a mad 1.67 on St Mirren not to score.score.
Toulose and Nice both don’t like over 2.5. In 11 Toulose home games they have managed this once and Nice have the same record away. Taking Blue Sq for their friendly price above at 1.53.
++ Double – @ 2.56 on Blue Sq (1pt)

No Corner bets this week as just the one premiership games so Asian Handicaps below but also a win bet as it just looked too good.

Chester v Rotherham (eng div 2 – sat 3pm local time)

Rotherham have the slightly shorter odds here which means the 0 handicap has low odds and you are left with taken them on 0, -0.5. I want to, but the win seems too inviting at 2.375 and here’s why. Chester have drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 6 games and lost 6 of their home games this season. Rotherham are the visitors and they have won 3 of the last 5 games and away from home have won 5 of the last 6 and the only one they didn’t win was the draw against Darlington who sit one place behind them in 3rd.  If we call this handicap at Rotherham -0.5 then they would have won it 6 times and lost it 6 times and Chester would have won 7 and lost 6. A quote around evens would be fair considering the differences in form and so the current price looks great value.
++
Rotherham @ 2.375 generally (1pt)

Catania v Parma (italy – sun 3pm local time)

Only 3 places separate these teams but Catania are strong at home and Parma weak away. Catania have a W5 D2 L2 record at home and have won 2 of the last 3 at home (the other a draw with Juve) and 5 of the last 7. Parma come on Sunday with the worst away record in Serie A losing 7, drawing 2 and no wins and managing just 5 goals in these 9 games. If we take the AH we get a bit of added security with the line Catania 0, -0.5. They would have won the 0 line 5/7 (2 draws) and the -0.5 line 5/9. For Parma they would have lost the 0 line everytime bar the 2 draws which would be voids and the -0.5 7/9.
++ 
Catania 0, -0.5 @ 1.95 on Bet365 (1pt)

Real Mallorca v Atletico Madrid (la liga – sun 5pm local time)

Of all the games this weekend this one really stood out. I really rate Atletico Madrid and last weekend Aguero hit the bar right before Real Madrid scored their second goal and that might have changed the whole outcome. This weekend they travel to the island of Mallorca and on the road they have lost just twice, at Barcelona and Real Madrid. Mallorca have just one win in the last 12 games and are dropping down the table. Atletico can be backed odds against on the 0 AH and they would have won that 4/6 away (3 draws) and as mentioned earlier both losses against the big 2. Worth 2 points
++ Atletico
Madrid 0 @ 2.075 on Bet365 (2pts)

5 points bet in total

Spinner Rinse

The rinse should be up later.

25 Jan, 08 | Posted in: Tips | Comments Closed