Well I didn’t get as much done on the site as I wanted this week. The mini-console is still without the cards section and there is a list of snags for the main console. This is what I will concentrate on next and add all the badges etc. Once it’s completed and I’m happy I’ll add the cards tab to the mini-console and snag that too.

Some interesting games around this week and for me the game between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla will be a good indicator of how ready Atletico are. The fixture list in Spain is ridiculous this season with teams playing Sevilla, Barcelona, Real Madrid and then Villareal on consecutive weeks. Atletico are just entering this phase and I’ll be at the Molinon on Saturday evening to see Gijón play Villareal and end their tunnel of death against those teams. Always a bit tricky this weekend as the Champions League is on again next week and the Atletico game against Liverpool should be lively.

Last weekend I got a bit burnt so have decided to stick with what I know and really try and use stats from this season and last to justify the bets. Once we get to 10 games in most leagues more patterns should emerge and bets be easier to find.

Onto this weekends games.

Stoke v Chelsea (English Premiership: Saturday 3pm BST)

I looked at this game from many angles anddespite Stoke getting the better of us last weekend I want to oppose them again. Chelsea have started the season well and scored 10 goals in their 5 games and everyone expects them to beat Stoke. I looked at angles like the HT/FT result, them to win 2-0 etc but nothing stood up well enough. 2-0 is a best priced 6.5 and I would think backing Chelsea to win by that scoreline in their away games (minus the big 4 clashes) would yield a decent profit. You’d only need it to come in 3 times to break even and last season it came up 5 times. The Asian Handicap was the bet that appealed to me here with the line set at Chelsea (-1, -1.5 or -1.25). I looked at last seasons games and taking games against teams that finished in the bottom half, as you expect Stoke will, they lost the bet once, had it half void/half lost 5 times and won it on 4 occasions. At the price on offer tomorrow it would have produced a very small profit and I think this season they may score more goals than last time. Would have been a winner against ManCity as well and even though they travel to Romania this week I think the team they put out will be good enough to win, and hopefully win well.

++ Asian Handicap – Chelsea (-1, -1.5) @ 1.98 on Bet365 (1pt)

Portsmouth v Tottenham (English Premiership: Sunday 1:30pm BST)

I do like a corner bet and looking at the weekends fixtures this one stands out. This season Spurs average 8.8 corners (8.5 in away matches) to Portsmouths 3.6 (3.5 in home matches) and Spurs get the handicap. If we look at last season in all Pompey home games the average supremacy was 0.7 and for Spurs away the average supremacy was -0.2 so therefore the Pompey -0.5 quote is almost spot on as the average there is 0.45. However, the one thing about Pompey last season was that after the opening 7 games they won the supremacy just 5 times and in those 12 games averaged just 4.5 corners. A corner count of 5 or 6 for Spurs could well win this and I think they’re more than capable of that and the evens quote makes this bet very appealing.

++ Asian Handicap Corners – Tottenham (+0.5) @ 2 on Bet365 (1pt)

Stoke v Chelsea (English Premiership: Saturday 3pm BST) / Leeds v Hereford (English League One: Saturday 3pm BST)

I want to include this game in a 1 point double as well. Last season the only away games Chelseadidn’t win were against Spurs, Villa, Pompey, Liverpool, Man Utd and Arsenal and are very consistent against the lower clubs. Dropping big 4 games they won 13/16 which is over 80% and odds of 1.23. Last season Leeds won 15/23 home games and although that gives them odds of 1.53 which is higher than the 1.4 on offer they have started this season very well and have bottom of the table Hereford as visitors. They have lost 5 of their 7 matches and you would expect Leeds to win.

++ Win Double (Chelsea/Leeds) @ 1.9 on Blue Sq/Tote/888 (1pt) – 1.96 on Betfred

Swindon v Millwall (English League One: Sunday 2pm BST

I looked at this game a few times and in the end have decided to go for it. Swindon have lost 1/3 home games this season and have just one in the last 6 games. Millwall are the visitors and they have won 4 on the bounce and their only loss this season came in a 4-3 ding dong away to league leaders Oldham. In their 6 other games they have conceded just 2 goals and although the win market at 3 appeals I will stick on the Asian handicap.

++ Asian Handicap – Millwall (0) on Bet365 @ 2.25 (1pt) – 2.29 on Pinnacle

4 points staked on the weekend.

Good luck in whatever bets you do.