FA Cup weekend again which cuts down on the available games I look at. The only thing I found in England was in the conference and that is listed as a bet below. Also no premiership games means no corner bets. I would like to start looking at other leagues for corner bets but I need time to start digging.
Real Madrid come to play in Gijon this weekend but I couldn’t get a ticket so will settle for PPV on the TV. Valencia’s players still haven’t been paid overdue wages and it will be interesting to see if that affects them. I was tempted by Hertha Berlin in Germany but I don’t really bet much there and they have such a long Christmas break I think it makes recent form much less worthwhile.
Oxford v Barrow (English Conference: Sat 3pmUK Time)
Oxford have won 11/16 home games (2nd best in the conference) and Barrow have lost 9/14 away games. That bottom line gives us a 20/30 chance of a home win which equates to 1.5 and is only slightly less than the best price on offer of 1.57. Oxford have won 10 of their last 11 home games and Barrow have lost 6 of the last 7 away and only won once in the last 11 games. Everything points to an Oxford home win but I found it interesting that 7/16 Oxford home games and 6/14 Barrow away games have been a victory to the home side by just one goal. I thought of betting on the margin of victory being one goal on Bet365 @ 3.5 but really 1-0 is unlikely and Barrow scoring 2 goals is as well so 2-1 to Oxford looks slightly crazy but great value. Of the 30 matches (Oxford home and Barrow away) 9 have ended 2-1, which is odds of 3.33 so I think it’s worth risking a point at 9 on 2-1
++ Correct Score – 2-1 11 @ 9 on SkyBet (1pt)
Valencia v MalagaBilbao (Spain: Sat 10pm Local Time – 9pmUK)
As I mentioned above Valencia have had severe problems with finances and I read on goal.com “The team have been waiting on their wages for several weeks and, even though they do not yet know when they will be given their pay cheques, the coach claimed that there is nothing to be worried about.” It must provide some distraction and Malaga have been in great form recently. They lost 3 of their first 4 games of the season, drawing the other, but since then in 18 matches have lost just 4 times to Barcelona and Real Madrid and then away at both Deportivo and Bilbao which are very hard places to visit. They have won 5 of their last 8 games and lost just once compared to Valencia who have lost 3 of the last 4 and who, after going undefeated in their first 8 games taking 20 of a possible 24 points, have now taking 17 points from the last 14 games. Their home form is old but Santander and Gijon have already won in the Mestalla and I think this could be a good chance for Malaga and a win could see them in 4th place!
++ Win Market – Malaga @ 5.5 on Betfred/Skybet/Stan James (1pt)
2 points staked on the weekend.
Good luck in whatever bets you do.
