Nothing in the league games in
81/152 games have been home wins (53%) with 45 draws (27%) and 30 away wins (20%). What is very interesting is that of the above stats if we look at matches in the last 16 phase we have 50% home wins, 25% away wins and 25% draws but in the first leg of these ties we have 40% home wins (16/40), 32.5% draws (13/40) and 27.5 away wins (11/40) and there is not time in any other round when an away win is more likely. For the draws that comes out to a price of 3.07 and as you can back every game at 3.3 or more except the Inter Milan v United game which is 3.1, it could be argued they are all value.
Of the 40 first leg games in the last sixteen 23 have been under 2.5 goals which is odds of 1.73 and is actually less games that I thought. All in all 50/80 last sixteen matches have been under 2.5 goals which is 62.5% and odds of 1.6 which is roughly what the bookies offer.
Not sure what this tells us but I thought I’d include it and I think it may have more use in later rounds.
Personally, I think Inter Milan look to have a great chance against Manchester United. Vidic missing is an enormous loss to United and I don’t think they will be able to replace them. United have only won 2 away ties in the knockout phase since 2002 and for all their glory in the domestic league this season they have lost away at Arsenal and
++ Win Market – Inter
1 points staked.
Good luck in whatever bets you