Week 8 bets (15.12.07)

SSS Tips

More bets this weekend with Asian Handicaps, a corner bet and a double. This weekend there are a number of Asian Handicap bets that I found and have trimmed them down to my favourites

Man City v Bolton

Man City have won every games this season at home and that is really what this bet is. The handicap is -0.5 so if they win we win. Bolton have not won away this season and lost 5 and drawn 2. Taking Man City and Boltons results this would be a winner 13/15 times this season so the price of 1.9 looks generous.
++ Asian Handicap – Man City -0.5 @ 1.9 on Bet365/Ladbrokes (1pt)

Valenciennes v Auxerre

Valenciennes have come up through the divisions in France and currently lie 5th this season. The are unbeaten at home winning 6/8 and host Auxerre who have 1 away win to their name and have scored 3 goals in 8 away games this season. It's the same bet as above with Valenciennes -0.5 and so if they win we win. Auxerre won 1 and drew 2 of the last 3 games but 2 of them were against the bottom sides. Looking at both sides results this would be a winner 11/16 games.
++ Asian Handicap – Valenciennes -0.5 @ 2.1 on Bet365 (1pt) (Also @ 2.1 on Coral win market)

Atalanta v Palermo

Atalanta are unbeaten at home this season and have lost only twice in their last 8 matches, both times away from home by the odd goal, against Inter and Juventus. Palermo won their first 2 away games of the season and since then have lost 3 and drawn 2 and have let in 11 goals in their last 3 away games. Atalanta's last home game was the 5-1 drubbing of Napoli. On the even handicap this looks a banker and I'm prepared to risk a little more and go for the upper handicap as well.
++ Asian Handicap – Atalanta 0 @ 1.83 on Bet365 (1pt)
++ Asian Handicap – Atalanta -0.25 @ 2.09 on Bet365 (1pt)

The corner bet

Sunderland v Aston Villa

I like Sunderland on corners and they have been consistent. They have a very low corner handicap of -0.5, 1 and this season would have beaten that in 6/7 home games and if we include last season its 22/30 with another 3 as half win half void. I think Villa's average owes alot to the back end of last season when they had more corners than the home team in 5 of the last 7 matches. This season they would have lost this bet every game and even including last season (and the good run) would have only won 9/26 with another 1 as half lose half void. Paddy Power offer a big 5/4 on Sunderland -1 which does look value but to be safe I'll go with the Asian on offer at Bet365
++ Asian Handicap Corners – Sunderland -0.5, -1 @ 1.9 on Bet365 (1pt)

A Scottish Double for this weekend

Inverness CT v Celtic

Celtic let us down last weekend but were back to their old ways with the 4-0 home win midweek. Looking for goals in this one as its 6/8 over 2.5 for Inverness at home and 7/8 for Celtic. Best price is 1.67 @ Blue Sq

East Fife v Dumbarton

East Fife have won all 7 home games and lead at HT and FT in 5 of these. They play second from bottom Dumbarton who have lost 5 of 7 away (losing at HT and FT in 3 of the 7). Best price is 1.83 @ Paddy Power
The Paddy Power price is huge for East Fife and they offer the best odds on the double

++ Double – Over 2.5 ICT v Celtic, East Fife HT/FT (home/home) @ 2.96 on Paddy Power (1pt)

6 points bet in total

Spinner Rinse

Looking for a bumper Christmas with Burnley to beat Preston, Norwich to win at Colchester (both Championship), Caen to win at Rennes (France), Atalanta to beat Palermo (Italy) and Barca to win at Valencia in the big Spanish game on Saturday night.
Can be backed at 122/1 on Bet365

14 Dec, 07 | Posted in: Tips | Comments Closed

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