Corner Bets 24.03.2014

I’ve had a couple of weekends off from this as I am working on the site and also collecting a lot of data which has made analysis much easier for possible selections. A lot of games in midweek so a few bets to be had.

Tuesday
Newcastle v Everton
Race to 3 Corners – Newcastle @ 1.83 (1pt) with Bet365
The records are the opposite for each team as Newcastle have won 9 and lost 5 and Everton have lost 9 and won 5. Removing matches against the top 4 Newcastle look decent in this.

Roma v Torino
First Corner Torino @ 2.75 (1pt) with Paddy Power
I was interested in this bet whe I saw Torino were 2.45 with Bwin. The price of 2.75 with PP is far too big on this. Both teams have played 14 home or away games and this market has been split right down the middle for both of them with a 7/7 split on 1st corner. Even if we think there is some advantage to Roma the price of 2.75 looks good.

Wednesday
Liverpool v Sunderland
Bwin are miles off with their quote of most corners in the first half for Sunderland at 5.25. Liverpool have actually been outcornered in the first half in 5/14 home matches. I’m not putting this up as Bwin are hard to bet with but I will be doing it with them with whatever paltry stake they alow.

Thursday
Inter v Udinese
Race to 3 – Udinese @ 3 (1pt) with Bet365
Udinese have won this is 7/15 away matches and Inter have lost this race in 6/14. 3.o is too big a price no matter how you look at the data.

24 Mar, 14 | Posted in: Corners, Tips | Comments Closed

Corner Bets 08.03.2014 Results

Mainz v Hertha Berlin: Race to 5 corners – Hertha @ 2.87 (1pt) -1

Espanyol v Elche: Race to 7 – Elche @ 6.5 (0.5pt) -0.5

Race to 7 Corners – Neither (Double 1.53 + 1.72 = 2.63) 1pt: Catanoa v Cagliari and Sampdoria v Livorno -1

Frustrating weekend as Hertha had their 4th corner in the 52nd minute but didn’t get another one and in the 80th minute Mainz won the race to 5.

16 bets – 7 winners -3.87

Corner Bets 08.03.2014

Mainz v Hertha Berlin
Race to 5 corners – Hertha @ 2.87 (1pt)
Neither team is that strong in this field as both have only reached the milestone of 5 corners in 4/11 matches this season. That’s odds of around 2.75 and it just seems odd that Manz are a clear favourite as 8/11 of their opponents got to 5 corners but just 4/11 Hertha opponents did.

Espanyol v Elche
Race to 7 – Elche @ 6.5 (0.5pt)
The price is too big and this is worth a chance even though it is likely not to win. Enough of these types of bet though and it will turn a profit. Elche have won this in 3/12 away and Espanyol have lost it in 4/13 at home. The two combined is 7/25 (28%) and should be a price of 3.57. Looking at all the stats I can’t really see why Elche are over 4.0 in this and so a speculative bet on 6.5 is worth doing.

Race to 7 Corners – Neither (Double 1.53 + 1.72 = 2.63) 1pt
Catanoa v Cagliari and Sampdoria v Livorno
None of these teams or their opponents get passed the 7 corner mark in matches at all often and this makes the double look a good option.

8 Mar, 14 | Posted in: Corners, Tips | Comments Closed

Corner Bets 01.03.2014 RESULTS

Late with this summary

Elche v Celta Vigo: Most corners in 1st half – Elche @ 1.75 (2pts) Lost -2

Fiorentina v Lazio: First Corner – Lazio @ 2.1 (1pt) Won +1.1

Roma v Inter: First Corner – Inter @ 2.25 (1pt) Won +1.25

Gutted about Elche. I had to go to bed when I saw the result last Saturday and it sunk a load of my bets.

Still a profit on the weekend but still losing. Bad staking with both 2pt bets losing.

13 bets – 7 winners -1.37

Corner bets 01.03.2014

Elche v Celta Vigo
Most corners in 1st half – Elche @ 1.75 (2pts)
This bet is available with Bwin or William Hill and not Bet365.
I have to add this in as it’s too good to miss. Elche have had more corners in the first half in 10/13 home matches and for Celta Vigo away the home team has had more corners in 11/12 matches. Home team has won this in 21/25 matches which is 4% and should be odds of 1.19.

Fiorentina v Lazio
First Corner – Lazio @ 2.1 (1pt)
I quite like the first corner market. Surely teams start out a game in a similar fashion and Lazio have won the first corner in 8/13 away and Fiorentina have conceded in 7/12 at home. Together that is 15/25 matches in favour of Lazio and that should be odds of 1.67 but we can get 2.1 (2.2 with Bwin or 2.25 with PP)

Roma v Inter
First Corner – Inter @ 2.25 (1pt)
No-one away in Serie A has had the first corner more times than Inter (10/12). Roma have lost it in 5/12 at home and that record would give a price around 2.4 but combine it with Inter and it should be 1.6. The Paddy Power price is massive.
(2.35 with Bwin or 2.5 with PP)

1 Mar, 14 | Posted in: Corners, Tips | Comments Closed