Race to 3, 5 and 7 corner stats

Recently I have added the stats for Race to 3 corners, race to 5 corners and race to 7 corners for major leagues. I have them for the top division in England, Spain, Germany, Italy, France, Brazil, Argentina and the USA

corner

I realise the boat has already set sail with the USA but I have them anyway and will add the A-League in Australia shortly. I have put them on a preview page but they will replace the main corner page once I have added last seasons stats as well.

Update of corner bets tweeted (08/05/2013)

I think that is probably it for the season after a -3.63 point loss at the weekend. A shame as a couple of games were very close. Swansea and Man City tied on 4 so if Swansea had managed one corner it would have been just a one point loss. More of a punch in the stomach was Napoli v Inter Milan where Inter edged the corners 6-5 but were stuck on 6 from the 58th minute. If we had just one more corner in that match then a massive 3 point profit would have been taken.

A few of the short priced selections I looked at lost as well which makes me think the unpredictability is much bigger now.

Profit +16.19 – Bets 42 (15 wins)

Date TweetedTweetLeagueResultP/L
03/05/2013Serie A: 1st corner –Napoli lost in 9/17 (h) and Inter won 10/17 (a). Inter should be fav so 2.37 decent.Serie AWon+1.37
03/05/2013Serie A: 1st corner – Torino best in league away winning 1st corner In 11/17 matches. Worth a punt at 3.0 v AC.Serie ALost-1
03/05/2013Serie A: Race to 7 – Inter (a) won 5/17 and Napoli (h) lost 5/17 so 3.4 sounds right. Longshot but 7.0 good value on Inter.Serie ALost-1
03/05/2013Prem: Race to 5 – Swans as good as anyone at race to 5 winning 14/17 (h). City good but lost 6/17 and 2.62 looks fair price.PremierLost-1
03/05/2013La Primera: Race to 5 – Malaga again at a big price. Mal (a) won 6/16 and Granada (h) lost 5/16. Over 3.2 is value so 5.5 appeals.La PrimeraLost-1
03/05/2013Bund: 1st corner – Hannover (h) lost 10/15 and Mainz (a) won 1st corner in 9/15. Mainz should be fav so 2.1 is good.BundesligaLost-1
26/04/2013Serie A: Chievo won first corner in 10/16 (h) and Genoa lost in 12/16 (a) so 1.72 looks big based on those percentages.Serie ALost-1
26/04/2013Serie A: Samp value in every corner market v Fiorentina. Race to 5 best as won 12/16 (h) and Viola lost in 7/16 (a). 2.5 very generous.Serie ALost-1
26/04/2013Serie A: Race to 3 on Pescara. Won 8/16 (h) and Napoli lost 8/16 (a) so evens fair and 3.0 attractive.Serie ALost-1
26/04/2013Prem: Arsenal (h) lost first corner in 9/17 (h) and Man Utd 2nd best in league winning 12/17 (a) so 2.2 on United good value.PremierLost-1
26/04/2013Prem: Worth chancing Newc on RaceTo7. W9 D8 (h) & =6 in Prem. Liverp L 5/17 so 3.4 is right 4 them but Newc record swings it in their favourPremierLost-1
26/04/2013Spain: Sociedad (h) lost first corner market in 10/16 and Val (a) won 9/15. Based on that 1.67 would be fair so 2.0 Val 1st worth taking.La PrimeraWon+1
26/04/2013Spain: Crazy Bilbao have won Race to 7 in 14/16 (h). That’s mental and 4.0 has to be taken even if they are playing Barca.La PrimeraLost-1
26/04/2013Germany: Same game the first corner market. Leverkusen lost 8/15 (h) and Bremen won 10/15 (a). 2.37 looks big for Bremen.BundesligaWon+1.37
26/04/2013Germany: RaceTo3. Leverkusen (h) & Bremen (a) have = records of W11 L4 so 1.36 for Lever & 3.0 for Bremen looks wrong. Evens would be rightBundesligaWon+2
22/04/2013Spain Race to 5: Celta Vigo have lost this in 7/15 (h) + Zaragoza have won in 6/16 (a). 6/16 is equivalent to odds of 2.67 so 3 looks value.La PrimeraWon+2
19/04/2013Italy first corner: Inter did this in 11/16 (h) and Parma conceded in 12/16 (a). 1.72 looks very big. 1.45 would be about right.Serie AWon+0.72
19/04/2013Prem Race to 5: Swans on Rto7 value also. 5 is lower price but landed in 13/16 (h) and Southampton lost in 10/16 (a). Edge for sure at 1.66PremierWon0.66+
19/04/2013Spain Race to 7: Big + speculative but Malaga won Rto to 7 in 4/15 (a) + Val lost in 5/16 (h). 3.75 about right so 6.5 is very generous.La PrimeraWon+5.5
19/04/2013Germany 1st corner: Dortmund surprisingly conceded 1st in 9/14 matches + Mainz had 1st in 9/14 away. 2.62 very big on Mainz 1st corner.BundesligaLost-1
19/04/2013Germany Race to 5: Stuttgart lost 6/14 (h) and Freiburg won 8/14 (a). Evens would look right on Freiburg and 2.5 well worth taking.BundesligaWon+1.5
19/04/2013Germany Race to 3: Leverkusen won 10/14 Rto3 (h) but Hoffenheim are decent away winning 8/14. Likely Lever will win but 3.5 too big for HoffBundesligaLost+1
15/04/2013Another corner tweet. Lazio 1st corner in 13/16 (h), only Roma better. Juventus 1st corner 8/15 (a). Juve as favs is wrong. Take Lazio 2.0Serie AWon+1
12/04/2013Spain: Race to 7. Amazingly Bilbao have won this in 13/15 home matches. Next best is 10/16. RM lost this in 5/15 away so 3.5 is too big.La PrimeraWon+2.5
12/04/2013Spain: Race to 5. Atl Mad have lost this in 5/15 home games. Odds should be 3.0 without Granada who are decent + won 7/15. 4.5 much too bigLa PrimeraLost-1
12/04/2013Bund: Stuttgart had had 1st corner in 11/13 home games. Bor Monch conceeded 1st corner in 9/14 away matches. 1.61 looks decent on this.BundesligaWon+.61
12/04/2013Prem: Reading won race to 5 in 10/16 at home and Liverpool lost it in 6/16 away. 4.33 looks way too big.PremierLost-1
05/04/2013It's a bit of a random market but Roma have had the first corner in 12/14 home matches. I'll have a small nibble on that at 1.72 (monday)Serie AWon+0.72
05/04/2013Short priced corner accu. Bund: Bayern Rto3 @ 1.4, Prem: Stoke Rto3 @ 1.53, Spain: Osasuna Rto5 @ 1.36 pays 2.92.VariousLost-1
05/04/2013Spain: Race to 7. Celta Vigo lost this in 5/14 (h). Rayo are kings of race to 7 in Spain. 7/14 wins (a) & 3.5 is massive.La PrimeraLost-1
05/04/2013Spain: Race to 5. Deportivo lost this in 7/14 at home and Zaragoza won in 6/15 away. Worst way price should be 2.5 and not the 3.1 on offerLa PrimeraLost-1
05/04/2013Prem: Race to 5 corners. Everton like a corner. Won Rto5 in 8/14 (a). Spurs lost in 4/15 (h). That + No Lennon/Bale makes 3.4 a big price.PremierWon+2.4
04/04/2013Bundesliga race to 5. Hamburg lost this in 6/14 homes. Freiburg won in 8/13 aways. Price should be 1.9 and not the 2.5 on offer for FreiburgBundesligaLost-1
29/03/2013 In Serie A Inter are kings of race to 7 (Samp =) winning 8/14. Yes they host Juve who are tight on corners but 4.33? Big.Serie AWon+3.33
29/03/2013Race to 3. Villa won this in 8/15 at home. Liverpool won in 7/8 away. Why then are Liv priced 1.36? AV at 3.0 looks very big.PremierLost-1
29/03/2013At Mad won race to 5 in 10/14 at home so 1.4 spot on. However, Val 1 of 6 teams who won over 50% race to 5 away. 3.4 a bit of valueLa PrimeraWon+2.4
29/03/2013Race to 3 corners in Spain. Malaga should not be 3.4 at Rayo. Rayo 7/14 @ home. Malaga won 5/13 when away but that’s a price of 2.6.La PrimeraWon+2.4
15/03/2013Stoke race to 3 corners is 1.72. They won that race 10/14 matches at home and baggies won it just 2/12 away. price should be 1.3ishPremierWon+0.72
15/03/2013Rayon won race to 5 corners at both Madrid clubs. Can they do it at Camp Nou? 6.0 are the odds and looks high.La PrimeraWon+5.0
07/03/2013Spurs have won the race to 7 corners in 9 of their 14 home matches. That equates to odds around 1.56. If they do that tonight 1.8 looks goodEuropa LeagueLost-1
02/03/2013of my hours of corner research Wigan to have the first corner v Liverpool at 2.1 is the best value bet. Should be more like 1.7PremierLost-1
01/03/2013Race to 5. Swansea won in 11/13 homes. Newcastle won in just 1/13 away, drawn (no winner) 5 times. should be 1.44 based on that, not 1.66.PremierWon+0.66
Table listing the bets tweeted
Profit +16.19
Bets 42 (15 wins)

Ideas section

I have joined twitter and it’s great. If you bet I would say it’s a must and the information on there and ideas is staggering.

Anyway there is a guy called @JonnyGrossmark and he kept going on about full time scores based on the half time score. He had some great facts and it really got me thinking. I also have had some idea about an in-play console and this is the first step towards that.

www.simplesoccerstats.com/ideas/HTScoreFTScore.php

That’s the page I have put together. You choose the league, you can then choose an individual season or just the last 7 prior to this as all and then enter the half time score. It then outputs the full time scores that have been realised when that was the half time score.

I like it. The next steps are

  • Allow you to select teams and see how an individual team performed with a certain HT score
  • Add in this season
  • Add in a list of the matches so you can see the result set in full and dig around a bit more.

Corner Console in place

I’ve put the corner console on it’s own tab and am working on some other ideas to add.

The console has a direct link at the top or is on http://www.simplesoccerstats.com/consoles/Corners.php

My aim is to add in the corners by half as well but that will be a project for the month and may take a few weeks to complete.

If you see any errors or have comments please let me know.

Corner Console

Over the last few weeks I have started work on a console just for corners. Not only is it just for corners but it is HTML rather than flash and so is compatible with mobiles, tablets etc.

It can be seen on www.simplesoccerstats.com/test/Corners.php

It is currently in a rough form but I wanted to get it out as it is done and see if anyone wants to test it and see how it works.  At the moment it only works for the English Premier League, Championship and League One as that is all I have added the stats for. Only the Premier League teams have their colours assigned as well.

I’ll explain what there is.

  • Top section is the 2 combo boxes to choose the league and then matches. When you change the league the whole page will refresh.
  • The top chart shows the totals for each team throughout the season. You can click on the legend to change what lines you want to see. For example you could see the total corners for each match the home team has played in. You could look at the corners just the home team has managed in each of their matches or look at the supremacy. For the supremacy the away team supremacy is in reverse. By that I mean a supremacy of 5 for the home team means that outcornered the away team by 5. A supremacy of 5 for the away team means they were outcornered by 5. This should mean you can see better where supremacy lines match up.
  • The next sections shows the averages and highs for each team and also for the league
  • The next section shows how the supremacy and total corner lines look. I have used Asian lines for both of these and then just summarised the past matches. You can scroll through the lists and see how each team would have fared using the different lines. It shows the home team, the away team and then the two combined.

Enhancements still to add

  • Better colours
  • Quicker connection to the database and data presentation. This will make a big difference.
  • Ability to exclude matches from the analysis (e.g remove matches against the top 3 teams) so you can see more likely results.
  • Many more leagues
  • Ability to view non Asian lines
  • Allow last seasons data to be shown as well.

Any comments from anyone would be appreciated. Either here, on facebook, on twitter (@simplesocstats) or good old email.