Right ….. all the data should be up to date for the new season. Teams changing divisons etc often trips me up and I may have missed stuff. If something does not work please can you let me know.
New Site Design
I have added a new site design as I intend to update the site. I hope you agree it is an improvement and all efforts in improving the site.
Big thanks to Luke Kelly for the design :: His Portfolio // His Behance profile
A decent tipster service
Just received an email from someone I work with you manages the football-bets.co.uk website. He’s a good guy and I know he’s honest and trustwortht.
Anyway they have an April newsletter that is worth a read and they also allow you to test the service for a couple of weeks for just £1.
“We’ll score when we want… we’re Man Utd…. but not two before half time”
Wigan v WBA
Given the two side’s respective home and away records, I’m more than happy to take on Wigan.
- Wigan one won game at home this season, back in August against QPR.
- WBA won six away games this season,
- WBA only lost 2 of last 8 away games, winning four of those
5 point WBA plus +0.25 Asian Handicap @ 7/10 with 188bet
3 points WBA Drawn no bet @ 1/1 with Coral / Ladbrokes / Paddy Power
Wolves v Man Utd
Since the sacking of Mick McCarthy Wolves have been quite frankly awful, the 2-2 draw at Newcastle already feels like a long way away whilst Man Utd will surely now be fully focused on the league after their exit from the Europa League. We missed the 2nd half goals last week but I think the best way to get on United is to back 1-0 at Half time.
- 8 of 14 United away games they have been leading 1-0 at Half time
- United been ahead at Half time 10 of 14 away games
5 points United 1-0 at Half time @ 13/5 with Coral
3 points United Half Time / Full Time @ 10/11 General
Bets March 10th/11th
I’ve highlighted five selections for you this week from the SimpleSoccerStats console. These are in general confidence below. Take a look and if you see anything you like as well please get in touch or post on the twitter or facebook pages.
1. Man Utd v WBA
I expect goals in this match with WBA free scoring away from home. I think the best angle to side with the goals rather than the 4/7 on Over 2.5 is to look at the 2nd half goals market. I’ll outline
- WBA scored in 6 of last 7 away games, blank was 1-0 at Tottenham,
- WBA scored 13 goals in their last 6 away games
- United scored at least twice in last 6 home games, 18 in total.
- United 2nd halves at home have featured 2 goals or more on 10 of the 13 games.
Looking at the last 6 games respectively you can see their 2nd half results. Rather than risk backing United who have won 5 of the last 6 2nd halves, we’ll play the Over 1.5 goals in the 2nd half, which would have landed 5 of 6 for both team in their current form.
|
United 2nd half home results |
Total Goals |
WBA 2nd half away results |
Total Goals |
|
2-1 |
3 |
0-4 |
4 |
|
1-0 |
1 |
1-1 |
2 |
|
2-0 |
2 |
1-1 |
2 |
|
2-2 |
4 |
1-0 |
1 |
|
3-0 |
3 |
1-1 |
2 |
|
2-1 |
3 |
1-2 |
3 |
|
Average |
2.67 |
Average |
2.33 |
(United listed 1st) (WBA listed 2nd)
– 5 points over 1.5 second half goals @ 10/11 with Coral
2. Wolves v Blackburn
- Been 3 goals or more in last 11 Wolves home games
- Both teams have scored in 9 of the last 10 Wolves home games and 12 of the last 12 Blackburn away games
- 24 goals in last 6 Wolves home matches
- 23 goals in last 6 Blackburn away matches
- Scores a whopping 20/24 using BTS criteria (see last week’s post)
– 2 points over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 with Stan James
– 2 points both teams to score @ 8/13 General
– 0.5 point Blackburn 3-2 @ 28/1 General
3. Norwich v Wigan
Statistics wise, this doesn’t look at great overs game, but I think you have to look at Norwich home record in more detail. Against top half opposition they’ve played seven games and scored in five of those but against lower half opposition they average 2 goals a game and those games average more goals.
- Over 2.5 goals in last 8 Wigan away games
- Norwich scored in 10 of their 13 home games
- Wigan scored in 6 of their last 8 away games
- Scores a 16/24 using BTS criteria (see last week’s post)
|
Norwich Home record |
|||||
|
Score v Top Half teams |
Norwich goals |
Goals in Game |
Score v Bottom half teams |
Norwich goals |
Goals in Game |
|
1-2 |
1 |
3 |
2-0 |
2 |
2 |
|
0-0 |
0 |
0 |
2-1 |
2 |
3 |
|
1-1 |
1 |
2 |
3-3 |
3 |
6 |
|
0-2 |
0 |
2 |
3-1 |
3 |
4 |
|
4-2 |
4 |
6 |
2-1 |
2 |
3 |
|
1-2 |
1 |
3 |
0-1 |
0 |
1 |
|
1-1 |
1 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
Average |
1.14 |
2.57 |
Average |
2.00 |
3.17 |
– 2 points over 2.5 goals @ 4/5 General
– 2 points both teams to score @ 8/11 with bet365 and Skybet
4. Coventry v Birmingham
- Last 3 Birmingham games scored 13 goals
- Coventry only failed to scored once at home all season, scored 15 of 16 games
- Both teams scored in 4 of 6 Coventry home games and 4 of 6 Birmingham away games
- Scores a 16/24 using BTS criteria (see last week’s post)
– 3 points Both teams to score @ 10/11 with Coral
5. Peterborough v Blackpool
Peterborough have lost their goal potency recently but against Blackpool who cannot keep a clean sheet away from home, I’d expect plenty of goals in this one.
- Last 8 Blackpool away games featured over 2.5 goals
- Last 4 Peterborough away games over 2.5 goals
- Blackpool haven’t kept a clean sheet in last 10 away games
– 3 points over 2.5 goals @ 4/6 General
– 1 point Accumulator on all five games highlighted @ roughly 14/1 Stan James
As a side note, it’s also worth reading the bettingzone preview of the football leagues games. They’ve picked out Carlisle again but I don’t fancy them as much against Bury as they are more of a threat and the price isn’t as good as highlighted mid week.