Augsburg v Nurnberg: Race to 7 corners – Neither @ 1.8 (1pt) WON +0.8
Malaga v Real Sociedad: Race to 5 corners – Malaga @ 2.0 (1pt) WON +1.0
Both corner bets were winners at the weekend to get back the loss from the previous weekend.
8 bets – 5 winners +0.28
Augsburg v Nurnberg
Race to 7 corners – Neither @ 1.8 (1pt)
Augsburg have played 9 home games and in just 2 have they or their opponents got to 7 corners. For Nurnberg away it is a similar story with just 3 of the 10 matches seeing 7 or more corners for either team. Put them together and that’s just 14/19 matches when race to 7 has ended up as neither. That is equivalent to odds of around 1.38 so 1.8 looks decent.
Malaga v Real Sociedad
Race to 5 corners – Malaga @ 2.0 (1pt)
Malaga have won this in 7/11 home matches and Sociedad have lost it in 8/12 away. Sociedad have had decent corner counts against the better teams. They have played non top 5 teams in 8 of their away games and only got more than 5 corners in 2 of these. Malaga are awful but hopefully they can win the race to 5 if not the match
1 winner and 2 losers
Rayo Vallecano v Malaga: Race to 7 Corners – Rayo @ 1.83 (2 points) Lost -2
Sampdoria v Cagliari: Race to 7 Corners – Neither @ 1.72 (1 point) Won +0.72
Norwich v Man City: Asian Handicap Corners – Norwich +3 @ 1.95 (1 point) Lost -1
6 bets – 3 winners -1.52
The Rayo bet was sunk with them getting 2 goals around the half hour mark. Looking at it now it was probably not the best bet as Malaga are awful and I should have considered they might go behind. I still have no idea how they managed to beat Sevilla the week before but they could easily go down.
Norwich won the race to 3 corners (was priced at 3.25) and they were level at 3 each at half time. As City pushed for a goal they just hammered the corner count but I would take that bet again tomorrow as you would expect City not to come unstuck like that again.
Nothing looks strong enough in the Prem this midweek so will look again at the weekend.
Rayo Vallecano v Malaga
Race to 7 Corners – Rayo @ 1.83 (2 points)
Rayo have won the race to 7 corners in 6/10 home matches and the teams they didn’t win it against were Elche, Barca and both Madrid clubs. So remove the top 3 and they did it in 6/7 home matches. Malaga have lost this race in 8/10 matches so 1.83 looks good
A major storm took out the internet so the rest of this is done the day after.
Sampdoria v Cagliari
Race to 7 Corners – Neither @ 1.72 (1 point)
In 8/11 Samp home games and 8/10 Cagliari away games no team has made it to 7 corners, so the Neither option on Race to 7 looks an option. That’s 16/21 matches and is 76% which should be odds around 1.31 but 1.72 is available and looks worth taking.
Norwich v Man City
Asian Handicap Corners – Norwich +3 @ 1.95 (1 point)
Man City have only beaten this line 3 times away and have drawn it once. Norwich have always beaten this handicap in 12 home games including against Chelsea so this price looks wrong. City would have to win by 4 corners and that happenned in the 3 games they lost earlier in the season (Cardiff, Villa and Sunderland) so they are stronger now and would expect Norwich to beat this line.
2 winners from the corner bets thanks to an 87th minute Inter Milan corner.
Cagliari v Fiorentina: Team Corners – Cagliari Over 5.5 @ 2.1 LOST -1
Juventus v Inter: Team Corners – Inter Over 3.5 @ 1.66 WON +0.66
Hannover v Borussia Monchengladbach: Team Corners – Hannover Over 5.5 @ 2.1 WON +1.1
3 bets – 2 winners +0.76
Will have some more up next weekend.