Keep picking the wrong draws.
Yesterdays results
05.07.2014 – Belgium v Argentina – DRAW @ 3.42 with Pinnacle LOST -1
4/24 :: -10.4
Todays bets
None
Keep picking the wrong draws.
Yesterdays results
05.07.2014 – Belgium v Argentina – DRAW @ 3.42 with Pinnacle LOST -1
4/24 :: -10.4
Todays bets
None
Yesterdays results
01.07.2014 – France v Germany – DRAW @ 3.23 with Pinnacle |LOST| -1
4/23 :: -9.4
Todays bets
05.07.2014 – Belgium v Argentina – DRAW @ 3.42 with Pinnacle
It’s back and about time. Not sure how next week will be with 3 whole days off! Excellent matchups in this round and Brazil v Colombia the pick for me. Loved this tweet from @benjaminpugsley showing how much time Colombia have been ahead in the tournament and that is the key here as they have not been stuck in draws when they need to break the deadlock or been behind. If Colombia do go ahead and we get into the second half I expect Brazil to score as Colombia defend very deep and as Brazil’s team is so lopsided with attackers it will suit them perfectly.
Lots of extra time in the first round and I saw the following tweet from @SportingbetMark.
I had a dig around the results and went back to 1986 as in 1982 they had some silly double group system. I excluded finals and 3rd place playoffs as there is no game after and that leaves 32 matches with 32 teams progressing. The topline stat from this is that just 11 of the teams who played extra time (not just penalties) progressed and as 4 of the matches featured teams that had both come through extra time removing those we have just 7 of 24 teams that played extra time won their next match. It is true that the weaker teams are more likely to feature in extra time but that is still a strong stat.
The record is poor mainly due to teams going to penalty shootouts with just 5/19 progressing and again 2 of those matches featured teams that both came through via penalties so just 3/15 countries who progressed via a penalty shootout won their next match. Doesn’t look good for Brazil or Costa Rica.
Interestingly teams that won through via a penalty shootout have not gone into extra time the following game as 16/19 were decided within 90 mins and just 3 went to extra time. Contrast that with teams that won through in extra time and in 11 of those 13 matches went to extra time again and 8 of them went on to penalties.
Is there something physically draining about the penalty shootout? Mentally does it weigh on your mind in the next match? The 19 teams who went through via a penalty shootout scored just 11 goals in their next match, whereas the extra time winners scored 12 goals in 13 games.
All the matches in full are shown below
Yesterdays results
None
4/22 :: -8.4
Todays bets
01.07.2014 – France v Germany – DRAW @ 3.23 with Pinnacle
Year | Match | Winner | Next | ET | Pen |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2010 | R16: USA 1-2 Ghana | Ghana | L Ghana 1-1 Uruguay | Yes | Yes |
2006 | R16: Argentina 2-1 Mexico | Argentina | L Argentina 1-1 Germany | Yes | Yes |
2006 | SF: Germany 0-2 Italy | Italy | W Italy 1-1 France | Yes | Yes |
2002 | R16: Sweden 1-2 Senegal | Senegal | L Senegal 0-1 Turkey | Yes | |
2002 | R16: Korea Republic 2-1 Italy | Korea Republic | W Korea Republic 0-0 Spain | Yes | Yes |
2002 | QF: Senegal 0-1 Turkey | Turkey | L Turkey 0-1 Brazil | ||
1998 | R16: France 1-0 Paraguay | France | W France 0-0 Italy | Yes | Yes |
1994 | R16: Nigeria 1-2 Italy | Italy | W Italy 2-1 Spain | ||
1990 | R16: Cameroon 2-1 Colombia | Cameroon | L Cameroon 2-3 England | Yes | |
1990 | R16: Spain 1-2 Yugoslavia | Yugoslavia | L Yugoslavia 0-0 Argentina | Yes | Yes |
1990 | R16: England 1-0 Belgium | England | W England 3-2 Cameroon | Yes | |
1990 | QF: England 3-2 Cameroon | England | L England 1-1 Germany | Yes | Yes |
1986 | R16: Soviet Union 3-4 Belgium | Belgium | W Belgium 1-1 Spain | Yes | Yes |
2010 | R16: Paraguay 0-0 Japan | Paraguay | L Paraguay 0-1 Spain | ||
2010 | QF: Uruguay 1-1 Ghana | Uruguay | L Uruguay 2-3 Netherlands | ||
2006 | R16: Switzerland 0-0 Ukraine | Ukraine | L Ukraine 0-3 Italy | ||
2006 | QF: Germany 1-1 Argentina | Germany | L Germany 0-2 Italy | Yes | |
2006 | QF: England 0-0 Portugal | Portugal | L Portugal 0-1 France | ||
2002 | R16: Spain 1-1 Republic of Ireland | Spain | L Spain 0-0 Republic of Ireland | Yes | Yes |
2002 | QF: Spain 0-0 Korea Republic | Korea Republic | L Korea Republic 0-1 Germany | ||
1998 | R16: Argentina 2-2 England | Argentina | L Argentina 1-2 Netherlands | ||
1998 | QF: Italy 0-0 France | France | W France 2-1 Croatia | ||
1998 | SF: Brazil 1-1 Netherlands | Brazil | L Brazil 0-3 France | ||
1994 | R16: Mexico 1-1 Bulgaria | Bulgaria | W Bulgaria 2-1 Germany | ||
1994 | QF: Romania 2-2 Sweden | Sweden | L Sweden 0-1 Brazil | ||
1990 | R16: Republic of Ireland 0-0 Romania | Republic of Ireland | L Republic of Ireland 0-1 Italy | ||
1990 | QF: Yugoslavia 0-0 Argentina | Argentina | W Argentina 1-1 Italy | Yes | Yes |
1990 | SF: Italy 1-1 Argentina | Argentina | L Argentina 0-1 Germany | ||
1990 | SF: Germany 1-1 England | Germany | W Germany 1-0 Argentina | ||
1986 | QF: Brazil 1-1 France | France | L France 0-2 Germany | ||
1986 | QF: Germany 0-0 Mexico | Germany | W Germany 2-0 France | ||
1986 | QF: Spain 1-1 Belgium | Belgium | L Belgium 0-2 Argentina |
A couple of days off. Too many matches went to extra time and teams suddenly came alive in it. Will post on some extra time stats before Friday’s games.
Yesterdays results
01.07.2014 – Belgium v USA – DRAW @ 3.36 with Pinnacle WON +2.36
4/22 :: -8.4
Todays bets
None
Saw an interesting comment on twitter last night but can’t remember by who that basically said so many of the European teams look like they are just doing a job and the other countries are playing with pride and passion. Probably a bit unfair that but I do think the smaller nations, like Algeria, will have an advantage in that they will have played together a lot more times just because there is a smaller group of players and they won’t have their clubs trying to get them out of matches. When England play friendlies they’ll change a load of players with substitutions and a fair few will miss out and it means far less minutes for players to play together. Would be interesting to know how many minutes Johnson, Jagielka, Cahill and Baines had played together prior to the World Cup and compare that to the Algerian back four.
3 of the 6 knockout matches so far have gone to extra time and a couple of others were very close.
Yesterdays results
DOUBLE: France to beat Nigeria (1.5) and Germany to beat Algeria (1.33) @ 1.95 with 3 book makers. LOST -1
3/21 :: -10.76
Todays bets
01.07.2014 – Belgium v USA – DRAW @ 3.36 with Pinnacle