After the madness of the final day of the season in the Spanish Segunda, where 90th minute goals decided promotion and relegation, we are left with the playoffs. You can see how it all happened with the highlights on the Liga Adelante youtube page
The prize of getting in La Primera is massive for the clubs in Spain so you get some very cagey matches. There is not a massive amount of data here as this has only been going for 4 seasons. It follows a similar format as the English playoffs and there are 2 semi-finals and a final but each tie is 2 legs including the final. The first leg, of the final and semi final, is the one to concentrate on as in all 12 first leg matches no team has scored more than 1 goal. 9 of the 12 matches have been under 1.5 goals and there have been four 0-0s, five 1-0s (3 to the home team and 2 to the away) and three 1-1 draws. The home team has won just 3 of the 12 matches.
Looking at the odds around over 2.5 appeals but most of all the under 2 goals looks the pick of the bets. Bet Victor offer 1.98 on both the first legs being under 2 goals and Pinnacle offer 1.99 and 1.97 so the double can be backed at 3.92 which looks decent value in that none of the previous 12 first leg matches have gone over 2 goals. If either game has 2 goals then that bit will be a push/void.
Double of under 2 goals in both first leg matches @ 3.92 with Bet Victor and Pinnacle
|Year||Round||Team 1||Agg.||Team 2||1st leg||2nd leg|
|10/11||SF||Celta de Vigo||1–1 (4–5 p)||Granada||1–0||0–1 (a.e.t.)|
|12/13||SF||Las Palmas||2–3||Almería||1–1||1–2 (aet)|
|13/14||SF||Las Palmas||2-0||Sporting Gijon||1–0||1-0|
|13/14||Final||Cordoba||1–1 (a)||Las Palmas||0–0||1–1|