Champions League: Matchday 2

The story so far – 4 bets, 1 wins, 4pts staked, +0.13pts

 

Another round of matches and a few more flagged up based on past results.

Porto vs Chelsea – Chelea @ 3.41 with Pinnacle

Lyon v Valencia – Valencia @ 2.91 with Pinnacle

Man Utd v Wolfsburg – Man Utd @ 1.8 with 5Dimes

Juventus v Sevilla– Draw@ 3.62 with Pinnacle

Champions League: Matchday 1 – Roundup

juventus celebrate

 

Sneaked a profit with the draw in the Roma v Barca match but not worth sliding on the floor about. Looked like the City v Juventus game was also heading to a draw and that would have been very good.

 

Matchday 1 results

Manchester City v Juventus – Draw @ 3.7 with 5Dimes – LOST (1-2) -1

Sevilla v Borussia Monchengladbach – Monchengladbach +1 @ 1.9 with Dafabet – LOST (3-0) -1

As Roma v Barcelona – Draw @ 4.13 with 5Dimes  – WON (1-1) +3.13

Valencia v Zenit– Valencia@ 1.82 with 5Dimes  – LOST (2-3) -1

4 bets, 1 wins, 4pts staked, +0.13pts

Champions League: Matchday 1

For a good few years I have been betting on the Champions League based on historical results between countries.

 

2014-15 results

19 bets, 9 wins, 19pts staked, +7.85pts

2013-14 results

8 winners from 13 bets and a +7.12

All the results can be seen by filtering the blog posts by the champions league.

 

I’ll do it again this year and hope for some decent results. All bets are 1pt and the odds are taken from the best odds available on the main console at the time of writing.

Manchester City v Juventus – Draw @ 3.7 with 5Dimes

Sevilla v Borussia Monchengladbach – Monchengladbach +1 @ 1.9 with Dafabet

As Roma v Barcelona – Draw @ 4.13 with 5Dimes

Valencia v Zenit– Valencia@ 1.82 with 5Dimes

Champions League: Matchday 6 – Roundup

Great way to round this off with a profit. Got the draw in the Juve game although Atletico continued to drift and were backable at 5.3 before the game.

Juventus v Atletico Madrid – Draw @ 3.1 with VC, WH, Lads and others – WON (1-1) +2.1

Roma v Manchester City – Roma @ 2.5 with Bet365, Lads, WH and BF – LOST (0-2) -1

At the end of the group stages this has again turned a tidy profit and very pleasing. The knockout is a whole different ball game and what patterns used to exist were blown out of the water last year with the group winners completely dominating.

 

19 bets, 9 wins, 19pts staked, +7.85pts

 

 

Champions League: Matchday 6

The story so far – 17 bets, 8 wins, 14pts staked, +6.75pts

 

Last matchday of the group stages and a couple more bets. Chelsea and Shaktar both look value but neither of those games means anything for them so I’ll swerve those and stick to games that mean something.

 

Juventus v Atletico Madrid – Draw @ 3.1 with VC, WH, Lads and others

Roma v Manchester City – Roma @ 2.5 with Bet365, Lads, WH and BF

 

The Juventus game is interesting as the draw has been hammered right in to 3.1. Olympiakos have the edge over Juve in the H2H which I think is the first way they decide the groups and if Olympiakos win and Juve lose then Juve could go out. A draw suits Juve and also lets Atletico top the group, but really Juve have to want to top the group as that means you avoid Bayern, Real Madrid, Chelsea and PSG/Barca. It’s one of those games where if the draw keeps crashing then the value on the win part is much bigger. Atletico will settle for the draw late on and Juve might not search out a winner but the rest, you’d expect to a proper contest.

Juve have lost twice already and were 2-1 down at home to Olympiakos before winning 3-2 and Serie A still hasn’t shown itself to be a strong league compared to the rest of Europpe and the 4.33 on Atleti is starting to appeal and if they go out to 4.5 I think  there’s big value there.