The story so far – 13 bets, 3 wins, 13pts staked, -4.16pts
Back again with these and hoping for a change in fortunes.
Real Madrid vs Paris SG – Real Madrid@ 1.8 with Pinnacle
PSV vs Wolfsburg – PSV@ 3.07 with Pinnacle
AS Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen – Draw @ 3.73 with Pinnacle
Manchester City vs Sevilla – Draw @ 3.58 with Pinnacle
The story so far – 8 bets, 3 wins, 8pts staked, +0.84pts
Another round of matches and a few more flagged up based on past results. Borussia Monchengladbach also appeared but I have ignored them as they are not at the normal standard of German teams and also I think Juve are better than other Italian teams have been of late.
Bayer Leverkusen vs AS Roma – Bayer Leverkusen @ 1.94 with 5Dimes
Paris SG vs Real Madrid – Real Madrid@ 3.03 with Pinnacle
CSKA Moscow vs Manchester United – Manchester United @ 2.58 with 5Dimes
Wolfsburg vs PSV – PSV @ 5.88 with Pinnacle
Manchester City vs Sevilla– Draw @ 4.22 with Pinnacle
The story so far – 4 bets, 1 wins, 4pts staked, +0.13pts
Another round of matches and a few more flagged up based on past results.
Porto vs Chelsea – Chelea @ 3.41 with Pinnacle
Lyon v Valencia – Valencia @ 2.91 with Pinnacle
Man Utd v Wolfsburg – Man Utd @ 1.8 with 5Dimes
Juventus v Sevilla– Draw@ 3.62 with Pinnacle
For a good few years I have been betting on the Champions League based on historical results between countries.
2014-15 results
19 bets, 9 wins, 19pts staked, +7.85pts
2013-14 results
8 winners from 13 bets and a +7.12
All the results can be seen by filtering the blog posts by the champions league.
I’ll do it again this year and hope for some decent results. All bets are 1pt and the odds are taken from the best odds available on the main console at the time of writing.
Manchester City v Juventus – Draw @ 3.7 with 5Dimes
Sevilla v Borussia Monchengladbach – Monchengladbach +1 @ 1.9 with Dafabet
As Roma v Barcelona – Draw @ 4.13 with 5Dimes
Valencia v Zenit– Valencia@ 1.82 with 5Dimes
After the madness of the final day of the season in the Spanish Segunda, where 90th minute goals decided promotion and relegation, we are left with the playoffs. You can see how it all happened with the highlights on the Liga Adelante youtube page
The prize of getting in La Primera is massive for the clubs in Spain so you get some very cagey matches. There is not a massive amount of data here as this has only been going for 4 seasons. It follows a similar format as the English playoffs and there are 2 semi-finals and a final but each tie is 2 legs including the final. The first leg, of the final and semi final, is the one to concentrate on as in all 12 first leg matches no team has scored more than 1 goal. 9 of the 12 matches have been under 1.5 goals and there have been four 0-0s, five 1-0s (3 to the home team and 2 to the away) and three 1-1 draws. The home team has won just 3 of the 12 matches.
Looking at the odds around over 2.5 appeals but most of all the under 2 goals looks the pick of the bets. Bet Victor offer 1.98 on both the first legs being under 2 goals and Pinnacle offer 1.99 and 1.97 so the double can be backed at 3.92 which looks decent value in that none of the previous 12 first leg matches have gone over 2 goals. If either game has 2 goals then that bit will be a push/void.
Double of under 2 goals in both first leg matches @ 3.92 with Bet Victor and Pinnacle
Full Results
| Year | Round | Team 1 | Agg. | Team 2 | 1st leg | 2nd leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | SF | Celta de Vigo | 1–1 (4–5 p) | Granada | 1–0 | 0–1 (a.e.t.) |
| 10/11 | SF | Valladolid | 2–3 | Elche | 1–0 | 1–3 |
| 10/11 | Final | Granada | 1–1 (a) | Elche | 0–0 | 1–1 |
| 11/12 | SF | Hércules | 1–1 (a) | Alcorcón | 1–1 | 0–0 |
| 11/12 | SF | Córdoba | 0–3 | Valladolid | 0–0 | 0–3 |
| 11/12 | Final | Alcorcón | 1–2 | Valladolid | 0–1 | 1–1 |
| 12/13 | SF | Alcorcón | 2–4 | Girona | 1–1 | 1–3 |
| 12/13 | SF | Las Palmas | 2–3 | Almería | 1–1 | 1–2 (aet) |
| 12/13 | Final | Girona | 0–4 | Almería | 0–1 | 0–3 |
| 13/14 | SF | Las Palmas | 2-0 | Sporting Gijon | 1–0 | 1-0 |
| 13/14 | SF | Cordoba | 2-1 | Murcia | 0–0 | 2-1 |
| 13/14 | Final | Cordoba | 1–1 (a) | Las Palmas | 0–0 | 1–1 |