Week 12 (18/10/08)

Added the cards tab to the mini-console this week and very happy with the site at the moment. If you do have any comments then please email me at mail@simplesoccerstats.com.

I have added some more bookmaker links to the site. Mainly this is because I don’t earn any money from the site so any people signing up to accounts will generate me some money and I will stick to bookmakers I think are relevant. I have Bet365 and Betfair on the main page and added Sporting Index banners like the one below to the mini console.

I think the mini console lends itself to spread betting and after dabbling last season I am back on it again with corner bets. The offer they have is true and just 3 bets risking £20 allows you to have £100 credited to your account. It was that or a free £200 bet on over/under in a game and I remember ringing them up to bet it on a champions league game between Valencia and Schalke or Bremen but took the cash. It was very lucky as I was going over and the game ended 0-0.

Some interesting games around this week and Liverpool look overpriced at 5 against Chelsea. Both teams have been impressive this season and I think the price factors in Liverpool’s previously bad form against the big 4, but with a win already against Man United this season could snatch a win or easily draw.

On to this weeks games. No corner bets and all the others are win bets.

Brentford v Shrewsbury (English League Two: Saturday 3pm BST)

I was surprised to see the odds on this game and had to check the team news to make sure Brentford didn’t have high profile absentees. Brentford sit in 2nd with Shrewsbury in 4th and just 2 points separate them. Since losing on the opening day Brentford have not lost in 11 matches, winning 6 and at home have won 4 and drawn 2. Shrewsbury have won just once in the last 4 games and away from home haven’t won since their first away game in August. If we look at the straight stats we have 4 Brentford home wins and 2 Shrewsbury losses in 12 games (Bees at home and Shrews away) which  is odds of 2 so the 2.4 looks good value and worth a bet with the good Brentford form.

++ Win Market – Brentford @ 2.4 on Ladbrokes (1pt) – 2.375 on several others

Toulouse v Monaco (France: Saturday 8pm Local Time)

I looked at various ways to bet this but have come back to the win bet every time. Toulouse lost away to Bordeaux last week but are in 5th place and just 3 points off leaders Lyon. They had won in a row prior to the defeat and at home have 3 wins and a draw with the draw against hard to beat Rennes. Monaco have drawn 2 and lost 2 away scoring just one goal and have lost 4 of the last 6 games. It looks quite a simple call on the price so fingers crossed we get the result.

++ Win Market – Toulose @ 2.1 on General (1pt)

Recreativo Huelva v Valencia (Spain La Liga : Sunday 5pm Local Time)

Valencia have started the season very well with 6 wins and 1 draw, scoring 17goals and conceding just 4. They sit on top of La Liga and visit Recreativo who have won just once in 7 matches, on the opening day, and lost 4 of the last 6. Last time at home they got beaten 4-0 by local rivals Malaga and selling Sinima-Pongolle to Atletico was a big loss for them as was their on loan Villarreal defender being sold to Barcelona. Looking at Valencia away games and Recre home games an away win would win 4/6 times which is odds of 1.5 and I would think Valencia should be more like 1.73. Stan James offer 1.95 on the win and I will go with that.

++ Win Market – Valencia @ 1.95 on Stan James (1pt) – 2.17 on Stan James and 2.23 on Pinnacle

3 points staked on the weekend.

Good luck in whatever bets you do.

24 Oct, 08 | Comments Closed