Most people have the chance to go on holiday in August but not The Premier League as it is back and we have all the stats as per normal. The new leagues we have added so far this seaason is the Chinese Super League and we hope to add another before the end of the month.
Still looking for anyone interested in writing some articles on the website over the course of the season. We can provide all the stats you want to explore betting angles.
Apparently EA might not have the Chinese Super League in the next version of FIFA Football but we now have added stats for the Chinese Super League to our website which can be seen here. There are also corner stats, player stats and all the other usuals.
We only have data for this season but will look into historical data.
Any suggestions or questions then please get in touch via twitter, fb or email.
On 30th July it will be 10 years since Simple Soccer Stats first appeared on the internet and when it started I didn’t think it would last this long. It was just a way to share the tools I was using for my betting with other web users and that is how it has continued. The site has evolved over time and now has a mountain of data.
However, at the moment it is becoming harder and harder to devote the amount of time to Simple Soccer Stats that it needs. Be that writing articles, scraping data, developing new ideas of marketing the site. The income from a site like this is not a lot and that is the crux of the issue. To be able to devote more time it has to make more money and to be able to make more money there needs to be more time devoted.
The possibility of the site having to stop was briefly discussed but this is not something we want to happen. So this first post is just to explore if there is anyone out there who would be interesting in helping with the site. That could be
In fact we are open to any possibilities. The email address is mail@simplesoccerstats.com and please get in contact.
The European leagues really start getting going this weekend, although a couple such as the Austrian Bundesliga are already underway. Just want to run through a few details about the site and what stats you can see and where.
Corner Console: This has stats for English Premier League, English Championship, English League One, English League Two, English Conference, Scottish Premier, Germany Bundesliga, Spain Primera, Italy Serie A, France Ligue 1, Netherlands Eredivisie, Portugal Superliga, Greece Super League, Turkey Super Lig, USA MLS, Brazil Futebol Brasileiro, Mexico Liga MX, Argentina Primera, Germany Bundesliga 2, Denmark Superliga, Austria Bundesliga, Russia Premier League, UEFA Champions League, Sweden Allsvenskan and UEFA Europa League.
The leagues in bold also have corner stats by halves.
Main Console: All leagues feature in this but Belgium Jupiler League, France Ligue 2, Italy Serie B, Scottish Championship, Scottish League 1, Scottish League 2 and Spain La Segunda do not have card stats.
Mini Console: Does not have cards for the leagues as listed in the mini console and has corners for all the leagues listed in the corner console.
Team Stats: All leagues are featured in this but as listed above some leagues do not have full stats. Also stats for a league only appear once a team has played at both home and away.
Match Stats and Tweet Bets: All leagues appear in these pages.
Goal Times: English Premier League, Germany Bundesliga, Spain Primera, Italy Serie A, France Ligue 1, USA MLS, Brazil Futebol Brasileiro, Mexico Liga MX and Argentina Primeraall appear on this page.
Half Time Scores: At present this has English Premier League, English Championship, English League One, English League Two ,English Conference, Scottish Premier, Germany Bundesliga, Spain Primera ,Italy Serie A, France Ligue 1, Netherlands Eredivisie, Portugal Superliga, Greece Super League, Turkey Super Lig, Belgium Jupiler League, Germany Bundesliga 2, France Ligue 2, Italy Serie B, Scottish Championship, Scottish League 1, Scottish League 2 and Spain La Segunda.
Heatmap: This includes all leagues but like the team stats does not have all stats for all leagues. The full grid is shown below.
Lge Viz: All leagues
Player Times: English Premier League, Germany Bundesliga, Spain Primera, Italy Serie A, France Ligue 1, USA MLS, Brazil Futebol Brasileiro, Mexico Liga MX and Argentina Primeraall appear on this page.
The grid below shows all the stats and which leagues include them.
| League | Corners | Corner HT | Cards | Shots/Fouls/Offsides etc | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina Primera | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
| Australia A-League | NO | NO | YES | NO | |
| Austria Bundesliga | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| Belgium Jupiler League | NO | NO | NO | NO | |
| Brazil Futebol Brasileiro | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
| Denmark Superliga | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| English Championship | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| English Conference | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| English League One | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| English League Two | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| English Premier League | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
| UEFA Champions League | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
| UEFA Europa League | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
| France Ligue 1 | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
| France Ligue 2 | NO | NO | NO | NO | |
| Germany Bundesliga | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
| Germany Bundesliga 2 | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| Greece Super League | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| Italy Serie A | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
| Italy Serie B | NO | NO | NO | NO | |
| Mexico Liga MX | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
| Netherlands Eredivisie | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| Norway Tippeligaen | YES | NO | YES | NO | |
| Portugal Superliga | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| Russia Premier League | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| Scottish Championship | NO | NO | NO | NO | |
| Scottish League 1 | NO | NO | NO | NO | |
| Scottish League 2 | NO | NO | NO | NO | |
| Scottish Premier | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| Spain La Segunda | NO | NO | NO | NO | |
| Spain Primera | YES | YES | YES | YES | |
| Sweden Allsvenskan | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| Turkey Super Lig | YES | NO | YES | YES | |
| USA MLS | YES | YES | YES | YES |
In the latest Betting Insiders magazine from The Betting School we wrote an article that included some testing of midweek fixtures using the Brier score. The idea for this came from the Pinnacle Betting Blog which often has interesting guest articles on it. This is how they describe the Brier score and how to use it for football
The Brier Score, as originally introduced in 1950, is a measure of the effectiveness of weather predictions.
Calculating the Brier Score
As probabilities implied by betting markets add up to more than 100%, we first adjust the odds pro-rata to determine the probabilities of each outcome for a match.
The Brier Score per match is the sum of the square difference of the probability and actual results. Let’s take the match Liverpool vs Crystal Palace on 8th November. Pinnacle Sports odds implied a 58.3% chance of Liverpool to win and a 24.5% chance of draw. The outcome was a Crystal Palace win at a predicted possibility of just 17.1%.
The probabilities for Win:Draw:Loss were 0.583:0.245:0.171 with the actual result being 0:0:1, where one stands for the actual outcome. The differences are 0.583:0.245:0.829. The sum of the square differences are 0.5832 + 0.2452 + 0.8292 = 1.0875. This is the Brier Score for this match.
The Brier score can range from 0, if odds guessed the outcome directly by stating there is 100% chance of only one outcome to be correct, to 2, if odds implied that one outcome is certain and that did not occur.
However, if we had to just throw outcomes at random and say that a home win, draw or away win are equally likely, then our Brier score would be 0.667, irrespective of the outcome.
The table below shows the Brier score per team in the Premiership. What we note is that some of the surprises are actually vindicated in the stats: Chelsea, Liverpool and West Ham are not performing as expected while for Arsenal and Manchester City it is business as usual.
You can see on the Pinnacle website how they applied this to check on individual teams and in a future blog we’ll apply it to different months in the football season.