La Segunda Playoffs

After the madness of the final day of the season in the Spanish Segunda, where 90th minute goals decided promotion and relegation, we are left with the playoffs.  You can see how it all happened with the highlights on the Liga Adelante youtube page




The prize of getting in La Primera is massive for the clubs in Spain so you get some very cagey matches. There is not a massive amount of data here as this has only been going for 4 seasons. It follows a similar format as the English playoffs and there are 2 semi-finals and a final but each tie is 2 legs including the final. The first leg, of the final and semi final, is the one to concentrate on as in all 12 first leg matches no team has scored more than 1 goal. 9 of the 12 matches have been under 1.5 goals and there have been four 0-0s, five 1-0s (3 to the home team and 2 to the away) and three 1-1 draws. The home team has won just 3 of the 12 matches.


Looking at the odds around over 2.5 appeals but most of all the under 2 goals looks the pick of the bets.  Bet Victor offer 1.98 on both the first legs being under 2 goals and Pinnacle offer 1.99 and 1.97 so the double can be backed at 3.92 which looks decent value in that none of the previous 12 first leg matches have gone over 2 goals. If either game has 2 goals then that bit will be a push/void.


Double of under 2 goals in both first leg matches @ 3.92 with Bet Victor and Pinnacle


Full Results

YearRoundTeam 1Agg.Team 21st leg2nd leg
10/11SFCelta de Vigo1–1 (4–5 p)Granada1–00–1 (a.e.t.)
10/11FinalGranada1–1 (a)Elche0–01–1
11/12SFHércules1–1 (a)Alcorcón1–10–0
12/13SFLas Palmas2–3Almería1–11–2 (aet)
13/14SFLas Palmas2-0Sporting Gijon1–01-0
13/14FinalCordoba1–1 (a)Las Palmas0–01–1

Tweeted stats for week ending 7th June

There will not be weekly roundups of these stats now but rather just monthly ones as less leagues are playing. Also The Both Teams To Score and Both Teams To Score And Win stats will now be removed and won’t be tweeted again as they had a strike rate of 58% which is probably a bit too low.


A full roundup of the stats will take place in a week or so.


DateTweetOddsScoreResultP/LCum P/L
1-6Under 2.5 Today - Lanus (h) 5/6 + Olimpo de Bahia Blanca (a) 5/7 = 10/13 (77%) - implied odds of 1.2902-0Win00
5-6BTTS Today - Gimnasia La Plata (h) 5/7 + Union de Santa Fe (a) 5/6 = 10/13 (77%) - implied odds of 1.2905-2Win00
7-6BTTS Today - Rosario Central (h) 5/6 + Independiente (a) 5/7 = 10/13 (77%) - implied odds of 1.2901-1Win00
7-6BTTS Today - Atletico Rafaela (h) 6/6 + Nueva Chicago (a) 4/7 = 10/13 (79%) - implied odds of 1.2702-0Lost00

Europa League Winner

Sevilla won the Europa League and a big profit overall. Advised bets were



15th February

Villarreal @ 20/1 with Tote, VC, Fred and BF Sportsbook (2pts)

Sevilla @ 19/1 with Bwin (1pt)

Sporting Lisbon @ 33/1 with VC and Coral (1pt)

Athletic Bilbao @ 28/1 with BF Sportsbook and Ladbrokes (1/2pt)

Totttenham @ 16/1 with most (1/2pt) – Coral have them at 20/1 but no-one else is close to that


15th May

Dnipro @ 3.75 with Bet Victor (2pts)


13pts profit on the Sevilla win and that’s now 7 of the last 12 Europa League winners coming from Spain. Not convinced that trend will continue next year as there are now 5 Spanish teams in the Champions League and unless any of them don’t progress from the group their UEFA cup entrants are might not be strong enough.

Tweeted stats for week ending 31st May

2 winners and 2 losers for this but no prices available for the matches that were playoffs etc such as the Serie B match. The Spanish Segunda finishes this weekend and there will be a roundup then and less tips sent.


DateTweetOddsScoreResultP/LCum P/L
30-5Under 2.5 Today - Union de Santa Fe (h) 6/7 + Godoy Cruz de Mendoza (a) 5/6 = 11/13 (85%) - implied odds of 1.1801-0Win00
30-5Under 2.5 Today - Virtus Entella (h) 16/21 + Modena (a) 17/21 = 33/42 (79%) - implied odds of 1.2702-2Lost00
30-5Under 2.5 Today - Belgrano de Cordoba (h) 4/7 + Gimnasia La Plata (a) 6/6 = 10/13 (79%) - implied odds of 1.2700-1Win00
31-5Under 2.5 Today - Aldosivi (h) 4/6 + Racing Club (a) 6/6 = 10/12 (83%) - implied odds of 1.2001-2Lost00

Tweeted stats for week ending 24th May

A bit behind on all this and will catch up.


DateTweetOddsScoreResultP/LCum P/L
22-5Under 2.5 Today - Crucero del Norte (h) 6/6 + Defensa y Justicia (a) 4/6 = 10/12 (83%) - implied odds of 1.2003-1Lost00
22-5Under 2.5 Today - Niort (h) 12/18 + Laval (a) 16/18 = 28/36 (78%) - implied odds of 1.292.050-3Lost-1-1
22-5Win to Nil Today - Troyes (h) 11/18 + Chateauroux (a) 11/18 = 22/36 (61%) - implied odds of 1.6404-1Lost0-1
23-5BTTS Today - Kasimpasa (h) 11/16 + Kayseri Erciyesspor (a) 13/16 = 24/32 (75%) - implied odds of 1.3303-3Win0-1
23-5Under 2.5 Today - Mechelen (h) 10/15 + Lokeren (a) 13/15 = 23/30 (77%) - implied odds of 1.3002-1Lost0-1
23-5Win HT/FT Today - Real Madrid (h) 17/24 + Getafe (a) 10/18 = 27/42 (63%) - implied odds of 1.5803-3Lost0-1