OK. Back later than I hoped but then just watched Midnight Run again and that took up a lot of time. Write ups will be shorter than normal but this week is the first week I have been able to look at patterns as they have started to emerge.

Arsenal v Aston Villa (English Premiership: Sat 3pm Local Time)

Arsenal average a whopping 9.1 corners in their home games and adding the away games in as well the average is still 8.5. The corner handicap is -3 and looking at home and away games this season (drop the Man Utd game) we would have backed a winner 7/11 times and had a void bet once. In the Villa way games they have lost by 4 corners or more 3/6 times. We get a decent price on Arsenal -3 and we may need the safety net of a 3 win that the Asian handicap allows but I think this is a good bet.

++ Asian Handicap Corners – Arsenal (-3) @ 1.95 on Bet365 (1pt)

West Brom v Chelsea (English Premiership: Sat 5:30pm Local Time)

Chelsea are 1.33 favourites for this game so the win market looks too short and you have to expect them to win. Chelsea have won 9/12 games this season and 8 of those 9 wins have been to nil. That looks the bet here and evens is available but taking Sporting Odds they offer 1.91 on Chelsea keeping a clean sheet. Chelsea have done that in 8/12 games this season as mentioned above and 5/6 times away. The Baggies have scored in 5/6 home games but this is a different kettle of fish and if we can keep getting those odds on Chelsea away they are worth taking.

++ Home team To Score – No @ 1.91 on Sporting Bet (1pt) – Alternative is Chelsea to win with a clean sheet at 2 on Boylesports.

Birmingham v Charlton (English Championship: Saturday 3pm Local Time)

7/8 Birmingham home games were under 2.5 and 6/8 Charlton away games were too. That’s 13/16 which is 81% and should be 1.23 but we can get 1.8

++ Over/Under 2.5 – Under @ 1.8 on Bet365/Betfred/Paddy Power/Skybet (1pt)

Southampton v Wolves (English Championship: Saturday 3pm Local Time)

Wolves started the season winning 7 of the first 8 games before then losing 3 in 4. They seem to be back on form again and have won 5 of the last 6 and compared to Southampton look cracking odds. The saints have won just once in the last 7 games and lost 4 of those. Even looking at the bare home record for Southampton and the away for Wolves we would expect Wolves to win 9/16 times which is 56% and odds of 1.77. Evens is widely available and Paddy Power go 2.1

++ Win Market – Wolves @ 2.1 on Paddy Power (1pt)

Toulouse v Grenoble (France: Saturday 9pm local time)

I always have a good look at France as there is often a lack of goals and some good patterns. This is the first HT result bet I have gone for but Toulouse at home have been drawing at HT 4/6 times and Grenoble away we get 5/7. That’s 9/13 which is  69% and odds of 1.44. Evens looks decent but Coral are sleeping offering 2.2. It’s standard odds they always offer for a HT draw and hopefully something we can pinpoint throughout the season.

++ Half Time – Draw @ 2.2 on Coral (1pt)

5 points staked on the weekend.

Good luck in whatever bets you do.