Week 6 Roundup (12/09/08)

Always nice to start with a profit and I’d take 1 point profit every week till the end of the season. Managed to watch some games as well and saw Gijón lose to Sevilla which wasn’t pretty. Gijón were abysmal defensively but I have a feeling Sevilla will not be anything like the force they were last season without Alves, Poulsen and Keita. They still have a goal threat but those three places are an enormous loss and I also don’t think the coach is as good as Ramos was when he was there. Once they have some tougher games I may look to oppose them but it is very hard to judge anything after 2 games. However, Real Madrid and Barcelona both look a bit dubious with Barça managing just 1 point from a possible 6 and Real conceding 3 goals at home. Just need another realistic contender and Atletico Madrid should be the one but they lost at the weekend as well. Maybe the most likely and consistent team will be Villareal. They lost a couple of players but have strengthened their squad overall.

That brings me on to the champions league this week. Villareal should never be 8/1 for the game at Old Trafford. They are solid, won’t concede many goals and 5/1 on draw no bet looks great value. This is the team that finished 2nd in Spain last season and when they met in the 05/06 competition both matches were 0-0. Of the other games I quite fancy Liverpool to win in Marseille at 2.4 and Atletico Madrid at 2.88 away to PSV could be value especially on the AH (0) or Draw No Bet where they can be backed at 2.03.

Back to the weekend bets. The corner bet was a void as Liverpool won 5-4 so we have our stake back. Bradford comfortably landed the handicap with a 4-1 win over Exeter.

2 bets (2 points staked) :: 1 win – 1 void – 0 losses :: +1

There is one game tonight which I will look at this afternoon, and post if there is anything, and then some championship games as well as the champions league on the other days. If there are any bets on that or the champions league I will put them up later tonight.

Also good to see Adebayor get a hatrick and him with 3 and Carew with 2 means the two antepost bets have made a good start. Carew can be backed at 100/1 at Ladbrokes at the moment which seems a bit mad as he was a best priced 80/1 before the season started.

15 Sep, 08 | Comments Closed