Tweeted Stats Overdue summer roundup

The tweeted stats have been on a good run lately and the results can now be seen here nicely split up, but have not rounded them up since  June. There were 48 bets across the months June to September so they are grouped together by month below.


The majority of these games were in leagues where there is no historical prices for the matches so it is unable to see if they were profitable or not.


MonthBet TypeWonLostSRP/LCum P/L
Jun-15Under 2.52167%00
Jul-15Over 2.54267%00
Jul-15Under 2.53350%00
Jul-15Win HT/FT1325%00
Jul-15Win to Nil1150%00
Aug-15Over 2.54357%00
Aug-15Under 2.53260%00
Aug-15Win HT/FT1150%00
Aug-15Win to Nil010%00
Sep-15Over 2.51233%-1-1
Sep-15Under 2.52340%0-1
Sep-15Win to Nil10100%0-1


Champions League: Matchday 5 Roundup

Always hard to do roundups when things go wrong and feel a bit like Ottamendi looks below. Two losses here as Zenit proved too good for Valencia and Man Utd were very disappointing.



Zenit vs Valencia – Draw @ 3.32 with 5Dimes LOST (2-0) -1

Manchester United vs PSV  – Manchester United -1 @ 1.84 with Dafabet LOST (0-0) -1

2 bets, 0 wins, 2pts staked, -2pts


Results so far

19 bets, 5 wins, 19pts staked, -5.29pts


The strike rate is always pretty low for this and it relies on there being one or two shocks. Decision making might need to be revised as there is now a strict hierachy in the champions league and the real big guns like Real Madrid, Barcelona and Bayern Munich do not give a fair representation on their countries. Bayern Munich are on a completely different level to the other German clubs now and this idea needs to reflect that.

Champions League: Matchday 4 Roundup

A very delayed roundup.

Real Madrid vs Paris SG – Real Madrid@ 1.8 with Pinnacle WON (1-0) +0.8

PSV vs Wolfsburg  – PSV@ 3.07 with Pinnacle WON(2-0) +2.07

AS Roma vs Bayer Leverkusen  – Draw @ 3.73 with Pinnacle LOST (3-2) -1

Manchester City vs Sevilla – Draw @ 3.58 with Pinnacle LOST (1-3) -1

4 bets, 2 wins, 4pts staked, +0.87pts


Results so far

17 bets, 5 wins, 17pts staked, -3.29pts


Clawed a little back but need a very big last couple of weeks to get this back into profit.

Can Jamie Vardy equal Ruud van Nistelrooy’s record against Newcastle?

When you’re in-form, you’re in-form. Jamie Vardy has scored in nine consecutive Premier League matches, setting a new record for the longest streak in a single season. However, Ruud van Nistelrooy scored in ten successive fixtures for Manchester United over the course of two seasons and now the Leicester City man will have the opportunity to break the Dutchman’s record against Newcastle United on November 21st.


walkers stadium


Vardy has been simply sensational at the start of the campaign, netting 12 goals in Leicester’s opening 12 fixtures. At the time of writing, he sits five goals above team-mate Riyad Mahrez, Everton’s Romelu Lukaku and Watford striker Odion Ighalo. Vardy looks set to finish as the Premier League’s top goalscorer and will be aiming for at least 25 goals at the end of the season.


His phenomenal scoring run has attracted attention from a number of Europe’s elite clubs and the likes of Real Madrid and Arsenal have both been linked with a move for the Foxes striker. On current form, he would certainly be able to play for these clubs but many have their doubts that Vardy could replicate this level of performance at a major club.


leicester matchday


Many punters will be backing Vardy to score for the tenth successive match against Newcastle next weekend. If you want to place a bet, or simply find out all of the latest news, statistics and odds on Leicester’s main striker, you can find all of this information on Coral’s website. Vardy will be keen to score though, and Leicester will fancy their chances against a suspect Newcastle side.


The Foxes striker is full of confidence right now but he mustn’t be too greedy as he seeks to equal Van Nistelrooy’s record. Vardy is widely regarded as one of the Premier League’s top workhorses and his contribution to the team does not go unnoticed. It would be a shame if the distraction of this record affected his usual work ethic, especially if it was detrimental to Leicester’s hopes of winning the match.


Jamie Vardy


So, can Jamie Vardy equal the record? Of course he can. Leicester have a tough run of matches coming up and Claudio Ranieri’s men will be labelling the Newcastle clash as a ‘must win’ fixture. Vardy has been instrumental to their success throughout the early stages of the season and, with a bit of luck, he will have another key role in the outcome of their clash against the Magpies and could move level with Van Nistelrooy if he performs at his best.

Corner odds user question and how they are calculated

This question was received this morning


Example Aston Villa vs Swansea for the Line 9,5 corners in Match. Your side says for under 9,5 the odds are 1,33. So when I get on bet365 under 9,5 1,83. there is a big value or is the 1,33 not the odd?

The screenshot of what he could see is below


The reply given was


Yes that is saying there is value. Aston Villa at home have had 14, 9, 9 and 8 corners and Swansea away have had 7,4,7 and 12 so that means 6/8 matches have been below 9.5 corners.


6/8 = 0.75 (75%)
1/0.75 = 1.33


Using the past games the price should be 1.33 but obviously there are lots of other factors to consider and it is not as simple as that. The price is just a guide to convert past results into a decimal price.


Champions League: Matchday 3 Roundup

Matchday 3 Results


Manchester City's Belgian midfielder Kev



DISASTER! There were some bigger prices yesterday and always the risk of it all going wrong but De Bruyne’s late strike was a 4.22 pt swing turning a small loss into a mighty blowout.


Bayer Leverkusen vs AS Roma – Bayer Leverkusen @ 1.94 with 5Dimes LOST (4-4) -1

Paris SG vs Real Madrid – Real Madrid@ 3.03 with Pinnacle LOST (0-0) -1

CSKA Moscow vs Manchester United – Manchester United @ 2.58 with 5Dimes LOST (1-1) -1

Wolfsburg vs PSV – PSV @ 5.88 with Pinnacle LOST (2-0) -1

Manchester City vs Sevilla– Draw @ 4.22 with Pinnacle LOST (2-1) -1

5 bets, 0 wins, 5pts staked, -5pts


Results so far

13 bets, 3 wins, 13pts staked, -4.16pts

Champions League: Matchday 3

The story so far – 8 bets, 3 wins, 8pts staked, +0.84pts


Another round of matches and a few more flagged up based on past results. Borussia Monchengladbach also appeared but I have ignored them as they are not at the normal standard of German teams and also I think Juve are better than other Italian teams have been of late.


Bayer Leverkusen vs AS Roma – Bayer Leverkusen @ 1.94 with 5Dimes

Paris SG vs Real Madrid – Real Madrid@ 3.03 with Pinnacle

CSKA Moscow vs Manchester United – Manchester United @ 2.58 with 5Dimes

Wolfsburg vs PSV – PSV @ 5.88 with Pinnacle

Manchester City vs Sevilla– Draw @ 4.22 with Pinnacle

Red hot Sanchez hits goalscoring form

While Arsenal fans hadn’t started doubting Alexis Sanchez, the Chilean’s first hat-trick for the club couldn’t have come at a better time.


Without a goal to his name yet this season, Sanchez opened his account for the campaign with a sizeable deposit, hitting three goals in Arsenal’s impressive 5-2 victory over Leicester City, and then followed that up with a brace against Manchester United. Currently on five league goals for the season, Sanchez has seen his odds of finishing as the league’s top scorer shorten to 10/1 with some bookmakers when this article was produced.


Having made an electric start to life in London following his switch to the Gunners from Barcelona last summer, Sanchez’s goalscoring slipped off somewhat during the second half of last season, and the striker had gone eight games without scoring before his hat-trick against Leicester. Despite failing to continue his early season form in front of goal throughout the entire campaign, the forward still managed to finish his first year in English football with 25 goals to his name, helping the club win the FA Cup for a second successive season.


Now back among the goals, Arsenal fans will be hoping Sanchez can play a major role in the club challenging for this season’s Premier League title. While Manchester City might still be many punters’ favourites this season, currently 10/11 with betfair and other major bookmakers, Arsenal are very much in this year’s title race and Sanchez rediscovering his scoring boots certainly strengthens their case.



CC  by  Ronnie Macdonald 


While Sanchez isn’t Arsenal’s only goalscoring threat, the fact is that, when he is in form, Arsenal are a much more dangerous team than when the Chile international is firing on all cylinders. Olivier Giroud has certainly done well over the past three seasons, starting this campaign in solid form with three goals from his opening seven league appearances, and Theo Walcott continues to stake his claim for a role up front, scoring the opening goal against Leicester. But it’s Sanchez who could hold the key this year.




As well as his goalscoring, Sanchez also has a big role to play in terms of assists, setting up his team-mates on 12 occasions last season and proving just how important he is to Arsenal from an offensive point of view. If he can get close to 20 goals and 10 assists again – with the likes of Giroud and Walcott weighing in with 10-plus goals apiece, there is no doubt that Arsenal could well push the likes of City much harder than they have managed over the past few seasons – possibly even all the way through to May.


Priced at 4/11 for a top-two finish in the league, Arsenal fans might not be satisfied with that this year, especially with Sanchez in this sort of form.