Monday Round Up (Week 4)
SSS Tips
Another profitable weekend. Portsmouth won the corner bet giving a profit on 1.8 but the HT/FT bets just had one winner. I have noted that I forgot to add in the price for the one winning game which was Valenciennes v Caen but it was 3 or over as I wrote one winner will return a profit. I will settle this bet at 3.0 giving a return of 0 on the HT/FT bets and 1.8 on the weekend.
Bets 11, Wins 8, Points staked 11, Profit +7.08
Spinner Rinse
2 out of 4 in the rinse this weekend but we were let down by Atletico Madrid and Rennes at Bordeaux. The over 2.5 bet won and the both teams to score bet in the thriller between Villareal and Sevilla.
Accumulators 4, Profit -4
Week 4 Bets (10.11.07)
SSS Tips
Portsmouth v ManCity
Corners again this week and opposing ManCity again too. It's the handicap with Portsmouth -2, -2.5 which is pretty big but I think they can do it. Looking at last season and this pompey would win this 13/24 with 2 x 1/2 void games as well, but if you drop games v the big 4 you get 13/18 wins and 1 x half void thrown in. You also have to go back to the 9th December to find the last time this would lose. ManCity have had 19 corners in 6 away games this season and in the last 16 away games would have won this bet once with 2 half voids. It warrants a 2 pointer.
++ Asian handicap corners – Portsmouth -2, -2.5 @ 1.9 on Bet365 (2pt)
This weekend I am propsoing 3 Half time/Full time bets (all 1/2 point) and just one coming in will net a profit. I used the half time pie charts to help me decide what to choose and have the following:
Sheffield Wednesday v Southampton
5 of Wednesday's home games have seen them losing at half time and for Southampton it's 5 of 8 as wins at half time. The odds of 5 are widely available for this and I think it's worth a look.
++ Southampton/Southampton HT/FT @ 5 on most (1/2pt)
Valenciennes v CaenCaen don't let in many goals but so far his season have not led at half time. Valenciennes have never been losing at half time and half were wins and half draws and every time they led at half time they went on to win and every time Caen were losing at half time (60%) they went on to lose
++ Valenciennes/Valenciennes HT/FT @ on Blue Sq/Paddy/Coral (1/2pt)
Real Betis v Real Zaragoza
Here we're looking for something different. The pie chart shows neither team has been leading at half time and both have drawn 3 of 5 home/away games at half time. Neither team has solid form and has no pattern but Zaragoza are the better team and hope they can show that on Sunday.
++ Draw/Zaragoza HT/FT @ 6 on several (6.4 on extrabet) (1/2pt)
Spinner Rinse
The new member of the rinse family seems to have settled in well and this weekend he has chosen Over 2.5 goals in the Billericay v Swansea FA cup game (1.7), Athletico Madrid to win at Almeria (2.0), the double chance on Rennes to win at Bordeaux (2.62) and in the Villareal v Sevilla game its the goal/no goal market and both teams to score (1.62). Only Bet365 have these markets but if they all come in …..
++ 14.87 @ bet365.
Midweek Round Up (Week 3.5)
SSS Tips
Another bet landed as Preston and Leicester drew 1-1. Only one league game on Wednesday so no tips but more at the weekend.
Bets 7, Wins 6, Points staked 7.5, Profit +5.28
Midweek 3.5 (06.11.07)
SSS Tips
Sunderland did the business on the corners beating ManCity 3-2 in a very low scoring encounter. City don't seem to have too many corners under Sven and that meant the 2 pointer was landed for a profit of 1.7 pts
Bets 6, Points staked 6.5, Profit +4.58
Midweek SSS Tips
Preston v Leicester
This game stuck out as I used the console because of the colours on the over/under 2.5 goal chart. Only 1 of Leicester's 6 away games has been over 2.5 and 2 of Preston's home matches. On October 2nd Preston beat Southampton 5-1 at home and taking that away there have been 6 goals in the other 6 home matches.++ Under 2.5 goals @ 1.7 on Bet365/Sporting Bet (1pt)
Monday Round Up (Week 3)
SSS Tips
QPR beat Hull 2-0 so the under 2.5 bet was landed. The over under charts on the site make these bets easy to find and there were 3 others I really liked and there will be more of these to come. Espanyol dissapointed against Santander and needed a last minute penalty to draw 1-1. A small profit on the weekend so far of +0.25 with the corner bet still to come.
Bets 5, Points staked 4.5, Profit +2.88
Spinner Rinse
A bad weekend in the rinse with 2 draws and a loss. These will keep coming though and hopefully will turn the corner.
Accumulators 3, Profit -3
Week 3 Bets (03.11.07)
SSSTips
ManCity v Sunderland
Corners again this week and Sunderland again too in the Monday night game. When I looked at this game I really hoped to see ManCity with a decent handicap and they have been given -2. I hope I am right as I think this is very wrong. In the championship last season Sunderland would have lost this bet once (at West Brom), and although this season they have been beaten 3 times away on corners once was at manyoo and once was at Arsenal and the other was at Boro who are getting a lot of corners. If we take ManCity this season and last we have 25 home games they would have won this handicap 8 times, this season they would never have won and you have to go back 10 games to find the last time they did manage it. Not many games are 2 point bets but think this warrants it.
++ Asian handicap corners – Sunderland +2 @ 1.85 on Bet365 (2pt)
QPR v Hull
Looking through matches this game struck me for the under 2.5 statstic first. The you see the half time draw possibility and also the amount of times the have been 0-0 at half time. Any of these could come in but I'll play safe (I hope) on under 2.5.
++ Under 2.5 goals @ 1.75 on Bet365 (1pt)
Racing Santander v Espanyol
This is a funny game as we have a team at home that has had all games under 2.5 goals and a team away with all games over 2.5. I see more Spanish football than anything and Espanyol seem a very good side and capable fo winning this. Raul Tamudo and Luis Garcia weren't firing against Murcia midweek but hopefully will on Sunday. The half time pie shows that Espanyol have been ahead in 4 of the 5 games. I am going to hope that continues and take the half time-full time bet of Espanyol-Espanyol.
++ Espanyol-Espanyol @ 5.5 on Bet Direct/Stan James (1/2pt)
Spinner Rinse
A lighter load in the rinse this week as there's a new member of the rinse family. The three for this weekend are Osasuna to beat Getafe in Spain, Rennes to beat Monaco in France and Parma to beat Siena.
++ Bet365 have a nice price which we'll take of 7.45 @ bet365.
Monday Round Up (Week 2)
SSS Tips
Well another good weekend for the SSS tips as Sunderland easily made the corner handicap beating Fulham 9 to 1 and then we had the bonus of the over 2.5 goals in the Burnley v Southampton game come in as that finished with a 3-2 away win for George Burley's men.
Bets 3, Points staked 3, Profit +2.63
Spinner Rinse
Spinner rinse was unlucky and these accumulators are definately a long term thing. He had 2 wins and 3 draws but looks to be on the right track.
Accumulators 2, Profit -2
Week 2 Bets (27.10.07)
SSS Tips
Sunderland v Fulham
Initially looking at this game it was the fact that in the corner bar Fulham have a very small percentage (25% of total corners) when they play away. The handicap is -1.5, -2 for Sunderland and they would have half won that against Liverpool this season and lost one other and won twice. Liverpool are not a bad corner scalp and makes me think Sunderland may make a good proportion of the match bets. In the 24 games since Keane took over this bet would only have lost 7 times.Fulham would have win this bet 9 of 23 last season and this but this season have had 4, 3, 4 and 4 corners away and if they even get 5 it means Sunderland need 7 to win which they did in 5 of the last 6 home games.
++ Asian handicap corners – Sunderland -1.5, -2 @ 1.9 on Bet365 (1pt)
Burnley v Southampton
I was scrolling through games looking at over/under 2.5 and the chart stopped me as I hit this game. Every Southampton away game has been over 2.5 and 4 of Burnleys 5 home games have been. Probability says this can't continue but in the 23 matches they have played between both have kept a clean sheet only once.
++ Over 2.5 goals @ 1.83 on Stan James (1pt)
Spinner Rinse
A right mixed bag in the rinse this weekend. He has gone for Walsall away at Bournemouth (lge 1), Hertha Berlin at home to Bochum, Hamburger to win at Duisburg (both Bundelsiga), Inter Milan to win in Palermo (Serie A) and Osasuna at home to beat Valladolid (Spain).
++ The best odds for this is expekt but we'll take the 2nd price of 32.18 @ bet365.
Week 1 Bets (20.10.07)
Spinner Rinse
west ham, valencia, hamburg, nancy and histon – There were no odds for this selection overall but nancy drew 1-1 and were the only team not to achieve the win.
Accumulators 1, Profit -1
SSS Tips
The first bet here was a corners bet on Wigan v Portsmouth
The handicap is even in this and I think that makes Wigan the value. Last season and this they lost the handicap 9 of 23 times at home which is pretty decent but then if you take out games against the big 4 you find they only lost 4 of 18 games. Pompey away last season and this lost the handicap 19 of 24.
++ Asian handicap corners – Wigan (0) @ 1.9 on Bet365 (1pt)
Bets 1, Points staked 1, Profit +0.9
