Barcelona play Guangzhou Evergrande tonight in the Fifa Club World Cup. Their odds to win the match are around with 1.13 and even without Neymar you would expect them to breeze this. They next play in the league on 30th December at home to Real Betis so there is no big games to keep the players fresh for and Messi needs a few more games to improve his fitness so would be expected to play.
The table below shows how the European team has done in the last 5 Club World Cups as well as their performance against the -2 and -2.5 Asian Handicap
|Date||Team 1||1G||2G||Team 2||-2 AH||-2.5AH|
|20.12.2014||Real Madrid||2||0||San Lorenzo||Void||Lose|
|16.12.2014||Cruz Azul||0||4||Real Madrid||Win||Win|
|21.12.2013||Bayern Munich||2||0||Raja Casablanca||Void||Lose|
|17.12.2013||Guangzhou Evergrande||0||3||Bayern Munich||Win||Win|
The European team plays just 2 matches in this tournament and in those 10 matches have conceeded goals in only 2 and none in the last 4 years. It seems clear there is a big gulf in class between the European teams and the others in this and the -2 Asian Handicap looks an interesting bet. The price is 1.72 with Dafabet and although that might not appeal to everyone it has lost just once in the last 10 years. 3 times the handicap was matched and so the stake was returned and a winner on 6 occasions which looks decent value.
The -2.5 handicap does not look as secure and other appealing bets are the win to nil market but the Barcelona -2 Asian Handicap bet looks safest.