This is from the post last year on the blog
The prize of getting in La Primera is massive for the clubs in Spain so you get some very cagey matches. There is not a massive amount of data here as this has only been going for 4 seasons. It follows a similar format as the English playoffs and there are 2 semi-finals and a final but each tie is 2 legs including the final. The first leg, of the final and semi final, is the one to concentrate on as in all 12 first leg matches no team has scored more than 1 goal. 9 of the 12 matches have been under 1.5 goals and there have been four 0-0s, five 1-0s (3 to the home team and 2 to the away) and three 1-1 draws. The home team has won just 3 of the 12 matches.
Last year the mould was completely broken as Zaragoza and Girona played out a ludicrous opening set of matches and I would expect them to revert back to type this year. The table below shows all the matches
| Year | Round | Team 1 | Agg. | Team 2 | 1st leg | 2nd leg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11 | SF | Celta de Vigo | 1–1 (4–5 p) | Granada | 1–0 | 0–1 (a.e.t.) |
| 10/11 | SF | Valladolid | 2–3 | Elche | 1–0 | 1–3 |
| 10/11 | Final | Granada | 1–1 (a) | Elche | 0–0 | 1–1 |
| 11/12 | SF | Hércules | 1–1 (a) | Alcorcón | 1–1 | 0–0 |
| 11/12 | SF | Córdoba | 0–3 | Valladolid | 0–0 | 0–3 |
| 11/12 | Final | Alcorcón | 1–2 | Valladolid | 0–1 | 1–1 |
| 12/13 | SF | Alcorcón | 2–4 | Girona | 1–1 | 1–3 |
| 12/13 | SF | Las Palmas | 2–3 | Almería | 1–1 | 1–2 (aet) |
| 12/13 | Final | Girona | 0–4 | Almería | 0–1 | 0–3 |
| 13/14 | SF | Las Palmas | 2-0 | Sporting Gijon | 1–0 | 1-0 |
| 13/14 | SF | Cordoba | 2-1 | Murcia | 0–0 | 2-1 |
| 13/14 | Final | Cordoba | 1–1 (a) | Las Palmas | 0–0 | 1–1 |
| 14/15 | SF | Valladolid | 1-1 (a) | Las Palmas | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 14/15 | SF | Zaragoza | 4-4 (h) | Girona | 0-3 | 1-4 |
| 14/15 | Final | Zaragoza | 3-3 (a) | Las Palmas | 3-1 | 2-0 |
The updated stats are:
In all 18 first leg matches just twice has a team scored more than 1 goal. 9 of the 15 matches have been under 1.5 goals and there have been four 0-0s, five 1-0s (3 to the home team and 2 to the away) and three 1-1 draws. The home team has won just 4 of the 15 matches and only scored more than 1 goal once.
These matches are played on 8th and 9th June so will wait for more prices to come up and look for an under 2 goals double.