Week 24.5 Bets (08.04.08)

Came up with quite a few possible bets here but have whittled it down to just one. I did like the look of under 2.5 in the NottsForest game but at 1.8 it’s hard to recommend a bet. The St Etienne game n France looked interesting as they have conceded just 4 goals in 15 home games but Lens seem to score quite freely.

SSS Tips

West Ham v Portsmouth (prem – tues 7:45pm local time)

The corner handicap for this game has been priced up quite closely but looking at the recent patterns I think West Ham might have a bigger advantage that the bookmakers think. West Ham average 6.5 corners at home which is in the top half of the averages and each game they average a supremacy of 1 corner over their opponents. Pompey are the visitors and away from home they average a paltry 3.8 corners, only Derby average less, and the supremacy averages out to 2 more for the home team. The handicap is West Ham -0.5, -1 and taking home games excluding the big 4 they would have won 6 of 11 times and had one half win/half void. Excluding games v the big 4 their supremacy rises to 1.8 corners per game. If we look at Pompey, and again exclude games v the big 4, this bet would have been a winner 7 of 12 times with 3 half win/half void so only twice in 12 games would it have been a losing bet. In these 12 games only once did Pompey manage over 5 corners and that was at Derby in August and since the turn of the year they have had just 19 corners in 6 away games. West Ham’s 5 home games of 2008 have netted 33 corners and this bet has to be taken.
++ Asian Handicap Corners – West Ham -0.5, -1 @ 1.9 on Bet365 (1pt)

1 point staked

NOTES

Games will be updated Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday.

7 Apr, 08 | Comments Closed

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