It was a very short roundup at the weekend and I didn’t get the chance to talk about Barcelona. They were absolutely stunning against Almeria and I will be looking to back them on the handicap this season as they score goals for fun. I’ve not been their biggest fan lately but with Eto’o back to his best they have a formidable team. Gijón won again this time 3-0 at Deportivo and took an amazing 5,000 fans along. Considering Osasuna must have had about 25 at the most when they came to Gijón the week before this fanatical support will serve them well.
I don’t have time to look at all the best today as I need to go through all the prem matches for corners tomorrow so will a couple of bets today and a couple tomorrow. Swansea look a big price at Wolves considering they seem to have found their feet and beat Wolves 3-1 a few weeks ago at home.
On to the matches.
Shrewsbury v Barnet (English League Two: Tuesday 7:45pm GMT)
At first glance this looks a home win as Shrewsbury sit in 5th and Barnet are in 18th but it’s the more recent form that needs to be looked at. Shrewsbury took the maximum 9 points from their first 3 matches but then have taken 13 points from the next 10. Barnet on the other hand took 1 point from their first 7 games and then 10 from the last 6. They have won 2 of the last 3 games away and although they have drawn and lost in their last two matches those games were against the teams in the top 3 places. Shrewsbury have just one win in the last 5 games, but do boast an excellent home record so could be too strong for Barnet. However, their goalie is still out and at 6.5 Barnet look far too big. I will err on the side of caution and take the draw no bet option.
++ Draw No Bet – Barnet (0) @ 4.5 on Bet365/Paddy Power (1pt)
NottsCounty v Rochdale (League Two: Tuesday 7:45pm GMT)
Not really one for betting on draws as I find them hard to call but I have kept an eye on Notts County since last season as they can’t help themselves but draw. This season they have drawn 9/13 matches and 5/6 at home and you may think that’s a freak but last season they drew 18/46 games (39%). Rochdale arrive and they have drawn 4/6 away games this season and although they are in good form Notts County are playing well too and the draw looks likely even before you take into account that 14/26 matches these two teams have played this season were draws. That’s 54% and odds of 1.86 so the draw at 3.4 is worth betting and so is 1-1 as 8/26 matches have been that score.
++ Win Market – Draw @ 3.4 on Skybet/Betfred/William Hill (½pt)
++ Correct Score – 1-1 @ 7 on Betfred/Blue Sq/Skybet (½pt) – Betfair is nearly always better on correct score odds
2 points staked.
I’m pretty sure there will be one 2 point bet tomorrow as well as a corner bet or two.
Good luck in whatever bets you do.
