The final is here and a large gap has been filled in the summer. Hopefully the tournament will go out with a decent match as much of the football has been good.
Again I called the semi-final right but made the wrong bet as Spain cruised through.
3 win / 11 bets / 9.5 points staked :: -2.9
I can only see Spain winning tonight but I feel I may be biased and am not sure what to bet. Germany have needed goalkeeping errors to help them through their last two matches and had to score 3 goals to win them both. They will not score 3 goals against Spain as that's the total goals Spain have let in in the whole tourny. With Villa out the 5 man midfield of Spain needs to score and I think 10/1 on Cesc is good and 16/1 on Iniesta and 20/1 on Xavi as even better. Xavi scored 4 goals in Spains qualifying for Euro 2008 and managed 7 goals for Barcelona this season and a lot of them later in the season. He can be backed at 15/2 to score at anytime on Paddy Power, who also offer 6/1 on Iniesta. Sergio Ramos is the defender most likely to score.
I hope its comfortable for Spain and they win by a few goals but its a final.
We are down nearly 3 points and I don't want to risk too much more in case it comes unstuck so will go for a couple of bigger prices.
++ First Goalscorer – Fabregas @ 11 on Bet365/Tote/Will Hill/Coral (1/2pt)
++ HT/FT – Draw/Spain @ 5.5 on Most (1/2pt)