SSS Tips
None of the games in England really stood out but there are a few in France which I like and a similar bet to before and hoping for a similar story.
Valenciennes v Lens (france – weds 6
This is the early game in France this midweek. Again it's the home form of Valenciennes we are basing this on as they have kept the run going and now have W8 D2 L0 at home. This time Lens are the visitors and away from home they've W2 D1 L7. If you delve a little deeper you can see Lens are third from bottom of the league and the 2 wins came against the only 2 teams below them who have the worst home records in the league. Lens have only scored 6 goals in the 10 away league games and Valenciennes have the tightest home defense shipping only 3 goals so far this season. Valenciennes would have won this bet 8/10 at home and Lens would have lost it 7/10 away. Getting a price of evens seems exceptional value and you get the better price on the AH rather than the straight win.
++ Asian Handicap – Valenciennes -0.5 @ 2.075 on Bet365/VC Bet (1pt)
It's a smilar story with Caen and Auxerre. Caen are the form team in France with just one loss in the last 14 games and 6 of the last 7 home games have ended in a win. Auxerre come to town and they managed W1 D2 L8 away from home scoring less (4) and conceeding more (21) than any other team. The 1 win game against rock bottom Metz and second from bottom Socheaux provided one of the draws. They are weak away and the on form Caen side should be too good for them. Caen have only lost one player to the African Nations Cup and although they have a small squad should have enough to cope. Again taking the AH handicap gets a much better price and am prepared to risk 1 1/2 points on this game.
++ Asian Handicap – Caen -0.5 @ 2.075 on Bet365/VC Bet/Ladbrokes (1 1/2pts)
++Double – The above bets @ 4.3 on Bet365 (1/2 pt)
SSS Tips Round Up
Happily we can add Aston Villa as a winning bet too as they drew 2-2 at Anfield and were very unlucky not to win. A very healthy weekend all in all.
Bets 66, Wins 29 (plus 5 void and 1 void/loss), Points staked 65, Profit +9.07