Back again. Have been severely wounded these last few weeks but a winning weekend always does the world of good.
I’ve spent some time this season writing a nice program that goes through all the games for me and comes back with a nice starting set. It may be that this is not all it is cracked up to be but I made further modifications recently and think this is the way to go
Anyway it picked out these games as 2 or 3 goals
Blackburn
Tottenham
In terms of HT/FT bets the following came up
QPR
CrystalPalace
DH
The formatting is poor but I will work on this. These games all qualify as the odds are twice what the probability has been this season.
I hope to get something together for next season based on ratings etc and have worked out a way to test anything using all historical data so imagine there will be success. Anyway on to the real selections
Oldham v Peterborough (English League One: Sat local time)
Like his dad Darren Ferguson so far has proved to be a mediocre footballer but a good manager. Long may it continue as we could do with more Ferguson’s. I do think we are very lucky in England to have Ferguson, Benitez and Wenger, especially if you compare us to other leagues. If Mourinho hadn’t been sacked that was a real Big 4! But back to Peterborough who lie 2nd in the table, have the best form over the last 10 matches and have won 8 of their last 9 games. In Oldham’s last 9 games they have won just once and their season is pretty much over after promising so much. Peterborough are still chasing Leicester for the title and a win here would keep the pressure on and keep them in line for automatic promotion at least. The item that drew the game is Peterborough winning all of their last 6 games while Oldham took just 2 points from their last 6. I’m playing cagey on this game.
++ Asian Handicap – Peterborough (0, -0.5) @ 2 on Bet365 (1pt)
Hertha Berlin v Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga: Sat local time)
Wolfsburg hosting Bayern is huge game and if the prices weren’t even I would see Wolfsburg as value. However, top of the pile Berlin host Dortmund and the price looks good. Berlin have won 10 straight at home and Dortmund have won just 4 times in 12 away games this season and not won in 5 away games.
++ Win Market – Hertha Berlin @ 2.05 on Blue Sq (1pt) – 2 on 6 bookies and better on Betfair
