Weekend 11th April 2009

I never did round up last weeks results but it was all square! It’s been an interesting week of research and I don’t want to put up the 2 or 3 goal bets etc until I have done some more research. Backing them straight on probable goals doesn’t work and this is because a team may average 2 or 3 goals because it wins nearly all its games and mainly by more than 1-0. If this team plays a team with a similar profile then the 2 or 3 goal probability looks good on paper but its rubbish compared to if one f those teams was playing a team which normally lost and played games with 2 or 3 goals.

Anyway a corner bet to begin.

Portsmouth v West Brom (Premier League: Sat 3pm local time)

I could see this being a high corner count. I have removed big 4 matches and without these Pompey home games and West Brom away games both average 12.7 corners. West Brom have a very high away average and taking all games only Man Utd, Arsenal, Chelsea, Villa and Blackburn average more corners away. 8/11 away games (not v big 4) have been over 11 corners and for Pompey at home its 7/12 over 11 and in the last 9 games at Fratton Park just 2 have been under 12 (11 and 10 corners in those games).

++ Asian Total Corners – Over 11.5 @ 1.85 on Bet365 (1pt)

Oxford v Wrexham (English Conference: Sat 3pm local time)

The home form of Oxford is very good as is their general form. They have won 8 of the last 9 home games and have lost just once in the last 18 matches. Wrexham have just 2 wins in the last 13 games and away from home have lost 4 of the last 6.

++ Win Market – Oxford @ 1.91 on Betfred/Skybet (1pt)

Nancy v Valenciennes ( France Ligue 1: Sat 5pm local time)

This game just screams out draw and not just a standard draw but a HT/FT draw. 40% of Nancy home games and 47& of Valenciennes away games have been Draw/Draw. It’s rare to ever see anything like this and I’m keen to bet it.

++ HT/Ft – Draw/Draw @ 4.5 on general (1pt

3 points stake d on the weeken d.

Good luck in whatever bets you do.